Created Wed 18th Nov 2009 10:07am PST by

Will "A Chrismas Carol" earn at least $83,1m after 17 days?

Settled as No

Background: Box office performance. #2 last weekend.

I will add all movies with a 20m+ first weekend and will stop the weekly questions when there is little acticity or the movie falls below 3m a week.

The value 83,1m consists of:
Up to this weekend: 63,3
Monday-Thursday: 4,3 (my estimate modell)
Next weekend: 15,6 (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/derbygame/)

I don´t want to change to 51% to 49% and similar in starting odds - therefore I use one digit more in box office numbers.

my original information:

A CHRISTMAS CAROL (2009)
Release Date: 11/06/09
Distributor: Buena Vista
Genre: Animation
Running Time: 1 hrs. 36 min.
MPAA Rating: PG
Theaters: 3683

Director: Robert Zemeckis
Actors: Jim Carrey
Cary Elwes
Colin Firth
Gary Oldman
Robin Wright Penn
Composer: Alan Silvestri

Settlement details:As reported by http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=christmascarol09.htm with the final weekend numbers on Monday, November 23th .

Forecast history %

Yes

39%

61%

Settled as No on Mon 23rd Nov 2009 2:52pm PST

Activity: H$5,971
Predictions: 8
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Sat 21st Nov 2009 3:05am PST
Settlement date: Mon 23rd Nov 2009 2:52pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 21st Nov 2009 3:05am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 18th Nov 2009 10:07am PST by

hfl13

Suspended Sat 21st Nov 2009 3:05am PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'No' Mon 23rd Nov 2009 2:52pm PST by