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USA v Uruguay: Rugby International World Cup Qualifier - who will win?

Settled as USA by 18 or more

USA won by 21, 27-6
http://www.scrum.com/scrum/rugby/match/scores/recent.html

Background:

Background: USA won 27-22 in Uruguay. The aggregate winner qualifies for the world cup.
http://www.scrum.com/australiatour/rugby/series/96491.html

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Points difference and result refer to the second match only, not the aggregate of both matches.

 
Forecast history %
USA by 18 or more
55%
USA by 17 or less
33%
Uruguay
9%
Draw
3%
Settled as USA by 18 or more on Sun 22nd Nov 2009 6:06pm PST

Suspend date: Sat 21st Nov 2009 1:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 22nd Nov 2009 6:06pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 21st Nov 2009 1:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: USA by 18 or more: 57%, USA by 17 or less: 35%, Uruguay: 5%, Draw: 3%

Action history:

Created Fri 20th Nov 2009 4:34pm PST by pitchedoutsideleg[Power User]
Suspended Sat 21st Nov 2009 1:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 22nd Nov 2009 5:54pm PST by pitchedoutsideleg[Power User]: USA won by 21, 27-6
http://www.scrum.com/scrum/rugby/match/scores/recent.html
Settled as 'USA by 18 or more' Sun 22nd Nov 2009 6:06pm PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: USA won by 21, 27-6
http://www.scrum.com/scrum/rugby/match/scores/recent.html

Suspend date: Sat 21st Nov 2009 1:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 22nd Nov 2009 6:06pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 21st Nov 2009 1:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (7)

17 weeks ago
indie1977 predicted Uruguay (H$20 at 9%)
17 weeks ago
charlesf predicted USA by 18 or more (H$268 at 54%)
17 weeks ago
charlesf predicted USA by 17 or less (H$172 at 34%)

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