2009 IAAF Male Athlete of the Year?

Settled as Usain Bolt

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/more/11/22/iaaf.athletes.of.year.ap/index.html

Background:

Background: http://www.iaaf.org/athletes/gala/newsid=54909.html

Kenenisa Bekele (Ethiopia)
---Became the first man ever to win a 5000/10,000m double at the World Championships
---Has set a Championship record 26:46.31 in the longer event in Berlin
---Has won his third share of the AF Golden League Jackpot
---Has set the fastest times in the world this year at 5000 and 10,000m
---Remained undefeated at 3000, 5000 and 10,000m through 2009

Usain Bolt (Jamaica)
---Won three gold medals at the 100,200 and 4x100m at the Berlin World Championships
---Set two World records 9.58 at 100m and 19.19 at 200m in Berlin
---Won the World Athletics Final 200m in a competition record 19.68
---Has run 5 times under 9.90 and 3 times under 19.60
---Remained undefeated in finals at 100, 200 and 400m throughout 2009

Tyson Gay (USA)
---Won the 100m silver medal at the Berlin World Championships
---Has become the second fastest 100m runner of all time at 9.69
---Has improved the American record three times and run 6 times under 9.95
---Won the World Athletics Final 100m in 9.88
---Has become the third fastest 200m of all-time at 19.58

Steve Hooker (Australia)
---Won the Berlin World Championships Pole Vault through injury taking only 2 jumps
---Has become the second highest pole vaulter of all-time with a 6.06 indoor clearance
---Has cleared the highest bar in 16 years
---Has jumped 3 times over 6 metres (indoors)
---Has won 8 out of 10 competitions in 2009

Andreas Thorkildsen (Norway)
---Won the Berlin World Championships Javelin Throw gold medal
---Has established the year’s farthest throw at 91.28m
---Has thrown 5 times over 88 metres in 2009
---Won the World Athletics Final at 87.75m
---Has won 9 out of 13 competitions in 2009

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Background lists the five finalists.
The winners of the 2009 World Athlete of the Year Awards will be announced live during the 2009 World Athletics Gala which will take place in Monaco, on 22 November 2009.

Forecast history %

Usain Bolt

66%

Kenenisa Bekele

16%

Steve Hooker

Andreas Thorkildsen

Tyson Gay

Settled as Usain Bolt on Mon 14th Dec 2009 6:12pm PST

Activity: H$1,070
Predictions: 5
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Sun 22nd Nov 2009 6am PST
Settlement date: Mon 14th Dec 2009 6:12pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 22nd Nov 2009 6am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Usain Bolt: 58%, Kenenisa Bekele: 20%, Steve Hooker: 10%, Andreas Thorkildsen: 10%, Tyson Gay: 2%

Action history:

Created Fri 20th Nov 2009 8:51pm PST by

sdchargers [Power User]

Suspended Sun 22nd Nov 2009 6am PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'Usain Bolt' Mon 14th Dec 2009 6:12pm PST by