2009 IAAF Female Athlete of the Year?

Settled as Sanya Richards

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/more/11/22/iaaf.athletes.of.year.ap/index.html

Background:

Background: http://www.iaaf.org/athletes/gala/newsid=54909.html

Yelena Isinbayeva (Russia)
--Set a World outdoor record 5.06m in Zürich
--Set a World Indoor record 5.00m in Donetsk
--Has won her second share of the ÅF Golden League Jackpot
--Has set the four highest marks in the world in 2009
--Has won 12 out 14 competitions in 2009

Sanya Richards (USA)
--Finally struck 400m gold in Berlin and anchored the US 4x400m to a second gold medal
--Has won her third share of the ÅF Golden League Jackpot
--Won the World Athletics Final 400m in 49.95
--Has set the 4 fastest times in the world in 2009
--Has won 10 out of 11 competitions in 2009

Valerie Vili (New Zealand)
--Won the Shot Put gold medal at the Berlin World Championships
--Has improved the Oceania record twice and broken 21 metres for the first time
--Has set 9 of the ten farthest throws in the world in 2009 and the best in five years
--Won the World Athletics Final in a competition record 21.07m
--Has remained undefeated throughout 2009

Blanka Vlasic (Croatia)
--Won the High Jump gold medal at the Berlin World Championships
--Has become the sole second all-time outdoor performer at 2.08m
--Has cleared the highest bar outdoors in 22 years!
--Has jumped 14 times over 2 metres and 8 times over 2.03m
--Has won 19 out of 23 competitions in 2009

Anita Wlodarczyk (Poland)
--Won the Hammer Throw gold medal at the Berlin World Championships
--Set a 77.96m World record in Berlin
--Has set the two farthest throws in the world in 2009
--Has thrown 9 times over 75 metres
--Has won 12 out of 14 competitions in 2009

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Background lists the five finalists.
The winners of the 2009 World Athlete of the Year Awards will be announced live during the 2009 World Athletics Gala which will take place in Monaco, on 22 November 2009.

Forecast history %

Yelena Isinbayeva

23%

Sanya Richards

16%

Valerie Vili

26%

Blanka Vlasic

18%

Anita Wlodarczyk

16%

Settled as Sanya Richards on Mon 14th Dec 2009 6:13pm PST

Activity: H$1,070
Predictions: 5
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Sun 22nd Nov 2009 6am PST
Settlement date: Mon 14th Dec 2009 6:13pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 22nd Nov 2009 6am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yelena Isinbayeva: 20%, Sanya Richards: 20%, Valerie Vili: 20%, Blanka Vlasic: 20%, Anita Wlodarczyk: 20%

Action history:

Created Fri 20th Nov 2009 9:14pm PST by

sdchargers [Power User]

Suspended Sun 22nd Nov 2009 6am PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'Sanya Richards' Mon 14th Dec 2009 6:13pm PST by