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Where will the Nikkei 225 close on Friday, November 27, 2009?

Settled as Nikkei closes at 9,200.00 or less

Nikkei ended the week at 9081.52 after dropping 301 points on Friday and 58 on Thursday

Background:

Background: The Nikkei dropped even lower last week, ending the week just below 9500. Just a few weeks ago it was regularly trading above 10000.

Nikkei closed at 9497.68 on Friday, November 20, down about 270 points.

Simply put, into which of the range options below will the Nikkei 225 fall at the end of trading on Friday? The question will suspend on Wednesday to provide some predictive requirements for wagering. That's where it gets tricky...have fun!

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Nikkei closes at 9,200.00 or less
1%
Nikkei closes between 9,200.01 and 9,300.00
1%
Nikkei closes between 9,300.01 and 9,400.00
13%
Nikkei closes between 9,400.01 and 9,500.00
26%
Nikkei closes between 9,500.01 and 9,600.00
26%
Nikkei closes between 9,600.01 and 9,700.00
19%
Nikkei closes between 9,700.01 and 9,800.00
13%
Nikkei closes at 9,800.01 or more
1%
Settled as Nikkei closes at 9,200.00 or less on Sat 28th Nov 2009 8:47am PST

Suspend date: Wed 25th Nov 2009 4:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 28th Nov 2009 8:47am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 25th Nov 2009 4:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Nikkei closes at 9,200.00 or less: 5%, Nikkei closes between 9,200.01 and 9,300.00: 10%, Nikkei closes between 9,300.01 and 9,400.00: 15%, Nikkei closes between 9,400.01 and 9,500.00: 20%, Nikkei closes between 9,500.01 and 9,600.00: 20%, Nikkei closes between 9,600.01 and 9,700.00: 15%, Nikkei closes between 9,700.01 and 9,800.00: 10%, Nikkei closes at 9,800.01 or more: 5%

Action history:

Created Sun 22nd Nov 2009 4:37pm PST by bayoubear[Admin]
Suspended Wed 25th Nov 2009 4:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Nikkei closes at 9,200.00 or less' Sat 28th Nov 2009 8:47am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: Nikkei ended the week at 9081.52 after dropping 301 points on Friday and 58 on Thursday

Suspend date: Wed 25th Nov 2009 4:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 28th Nov 2009 8:47am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 25th Nov 2009 4:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (48)

16 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted Nikkei closes between 9,500.01 and 9,600.00 (H$300 at 26%)
16 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted Nikkei closes between 9,500.01 and 9,600.00 (H$200 at 28%)
16 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted Nikkei closes between 9,400.01 and 9,500.00 (H$500 at 34%)
16 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted Nikkei closes between 9,500.01 and 9,600.00 (H$200 at 27%)
16 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted Nikkei closes between 9,500.01 and 9,600.00 (H$400 at 23%)

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