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Will "Blind Side" earn at least $71,2m after 10 days?

Settled as Yes

Background: Box office performance. #2 last weekend.

I will add all movies with a 20m+ first weekend and will stop the weekly questions when there is little acticity or the movie falls below 3m a week.

The value 71,2m consists of:
Up to this weekend: 34,1
Monday-Thursday: 14,1 (my estimate modell)
Next weekend: 23,0 (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/derbygame/)

I donīt want to change to 51% to 49% and similar in starting odds - therefore I use one digit more in box office numbers.

my original information:

THE BLIND SIDE
Release Date: 11/20/09
Distributor: Warner Bros.
Genre: Sports Drama
Running Time: 2 hrs. 6 min.
MPAA Rating: PG-13
Theater: 3110

Director: John Lee Hancock
Actors: Sandra Bullock
Kathy Bates

Settlement details:As reported by http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=blindside.htm with the final weekend numbers on Monday, November 30th .

 
Forecast history %
Yes
92%
No
8%
Settled as Yes on Mon 30th Nov 2009 3:28pm PST

Suspend date: Sat 28th Nov 2009 3:05am PST
Settlement date: Mon 30th Nov 2009 3:28pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 28th Nov 2009 3:05am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Tue 24th Nov 2009 1:06pm PST by hfl13
Suspended Sat 28th Nov 2009 3:05am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 30th Nov 2009 2:13pm PST by hfl13: Quite a little bit more!

$100,238,841

http://www.the-numbers.com/charts/thisweek.php
Settled as 'Yes' Mon 30th Nov 2009 3:28pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]

Suspend date: Sat 28th Nov 2009 3:05am PST
Settlement date: Mon 30th Nov 2009 3:28pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 28th Nov 2009 3:05am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (19)

16 weeks ago
chull predicted Yes (H$2,500 at 91%)
16 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted Yes (H$5,000 at 75%)
16 weeks ago
al_kovy predicted No (H$20 at 50%)
16 weeks ago
curly predicted No (H$250 at 50%)
16 weeks ago
raidersin09 predicted No (H$50 at 49%)

Comments (2)

The movie's not getting the best reviews fyi.
posted 16 weeks ago
  2 hfl13
Thats the best recipe for high box offices (see transformers, Twilight New Moon ...). ;-)
The pic scored a rare "A+" CinemaScore = watchers like it.

But 71,2m is still a lot.
posted 16 weeks ago

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