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Will Greece default on its sovereign debt before July 1, 2010?

Background: SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Greece's prime minister delivered a sobering speech Monday, warning that the country has lost international credibility and is in danger of sinking under the weight of its ballooning budget deficit.

The speech by Prime Minister George Papandreou was eagerly anticipated by investors, since concerns over the deficit have triggered a sell-off in Greek bonds and stocks in recent weeks.

Pressure on Greece has been mounting after the government admitted that its deficit this year will rise to 12.7% of gross domestic product, well above previous official projections.

Papandreou, speaking to business and union leaders Monday, said his government will make hard decisions over the coming months, spurred to action as "Greece faces the risk of sinking under its debt," according to an Associated Press report.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/greek-premier-to-give-speech-amid-deficit-worries-2009-12-14
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Will Greece fail to make any payments on their national debt before July 1, 2010?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
16%
No
84%
Question suspends in 15 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 30th Jun 11:59pm PST (15 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Dec 2009 12:01pm PST by frogchop

Suspend date: Wed 30th Jun 11:59pm PST (15 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (42)

1 week ago
nigelroyer predicted Yes (H$50 at 16%)
3 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted No (H$5,000 at 82%)
3 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted No (H$5,000 at 77%)
7 weeks ago
wyrm predicted No (H$100 at 80%)
7 weeks ago
bookie predicted No (H$780 at 79%)

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