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German politics: Will minister of defense Guttenberg resign in the next 6 months?

Background: An inquiry board has been formed to formally determine "who knew what when" after the bombing of two tankers near Kunduz, Afghanistan, Sept. 4 2009. The airstrike possibly led to civilian casualties and former minister of defense Jung already resigned from the cabinet. Now Guttenberg is harshly attacked by the oppostion and not only them:
http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/0,1518,667414,00.html

Settlement details: The implied or stated reason for Guttenbergs resignation does not matter, just the fact. The 6 months period ends June 16th 2010.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
11%
No
89%
Question suspends in 12 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 16th Jun 6:59am PST (12 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Wed 16th Dec 2009 2:31pm PST by joffi

Suspend date: Wed 16th Jun 6:59am PST (12 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (9)

6 hours ago
joffi predicted Yes (H$10 at 11%)
2 days ago
ghostbuster predicted No (H$300 at 91%)
2 days ago
joffi predicted No (H$650 at 90%)
1 week ago
joffi predicted No (H$3,000 at 89%)
10 weeks ago
joffi predicted No (H$1,000 at 89%)

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