Created Fri 1st Jan 2:44pm PST by 
sailfurther
sailfurther 
Will DRAM prices stay strong in 2010?
Background: "Andrew Norwood, research vice president for semiconductors at Gartner, forecasts average DRAM selling prices to fall about 8% next year, much milder than the 30% drop the industry typically sees annually.
The average spot price for a widely used DRAM chip fetched $2.53 each early Monday, up from $2.29 each on Dec. 21, according to Taiwan-based online chip clearinghouse DRAMeXchange."
From Wall Street Journal article:
Chip Makers Head for Better Times
DRAM Firms' Capital Outlays Are Expected to Increase as Prices Strengthen
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704905704574623230764373074.html
Percentage change measured from Dec. 31st spot market price of 1Gb DDR2 DRAM of $2.57.
Editor's note: Outcome options have been clarified.
The average spot price for a widely used DRAM chip fetched $2.53 each early Monday, up from $2.29 each on Dec. 21, according to Taiwan-based online chip clearinghouse DRAMeXchange."
From Wall Street Journal article:
Chip Makers Head for Better Times
DRAM Firms' Capital Outlays Are Expected to Increase as Prices Strengthen
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704905704574623230764373074.html
Percentage change measured from Dec. 31st spot market price of 1Gb DDR2 DRAM of $2.57.
Editor's note: Outcome options have been clarified.
Settlement details:As reported by bloomberg:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=DRAM72%3AIND
Forecast history %
| 1Gb DDR2 DRAM spot price increases by more than 0% |
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| 1Gb DDR2 DRAM spot price decreases by 0% to 10% |
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| 1Gb DDR2 DRAM spot price decreases by > 10% |
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Question suspends in 41 weeks
- Activity: H$16,009 |
- Predictions: 16 |
Comments: 1
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (41 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: 1Gb DDR2 DRAM spot price increases by more than 0%: 33%, 1Gb DDR2 DRAM spot price decreases by 0% to 10%: 34%, 1Gb DDR2 DRAM spot price decreases by > 10%: 33%
Action history:
Created Fri 1st Jan 2:44pm PST by sailfurther
sailfurther
Changed Description Mon 4th Jan 2:46am PST by 
nigeleccles![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
nigeleccles: show details ... -based online chip clearinghouse DRAMeXchange." <."<br/> <br/> From Wall Street Journal article: <:<br/> Chip Makers Head for Better Times <<br/> DRAM Firms' Capital Outlays ... to Increase as Prices Strengthen <<br/> <a href="http://online. ... .com/article/SB10001424052748704905704574623230764373074.html</a> <><br/> <br/> Percentage change measured ... DDR2 DRAM of $2.57.<br/> <br/> Editor's note: "> -10%" will be taken to mean less than -10% as is clearly intended by the question creator.
Changed Settlement info Mon 4th Jan 6am PST by nigeleccles: show details
nigeleccles: show details ... bloomberg: <:<br/> <a href="http://www.
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (41 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (16)
suigeneris
pryd
predicted 1Gb DDR2 DRAM spot price decreases by 0% to 10% (H$100 at 32%)
mikeneu
predicted 1Gb DDR2 DRAM spot price decreases by > 10% (H$20 at 55%)
mdad8200
predicted 1Gb DDR2 DRAM spot price decreases by > 10% (H$250 at 54%)
predicted 1Gb DDR2 DRAM spot price decreases by > 10% (H$100 at 84%)Comments (1)
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