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Who will be the Democratic Party's nominee for President of the US in 2012?

Background: Which Democrat will win the nomination?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Suspend date should be changed by Hubdub to reflect the date of the 2012 Democratic Party convention.

 
Forecast history %
Barack Obama
87%
Howard Dean
0%
Russ Feingold
0%
Evan Bayh
0%
Joe Biden
4%
Hillary Clinton
4%
Someone else
4%
Question suspends in 2 years

Suspend date: Sat 1st Sep 2012 7:59am PST (2 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Barack Obama: 94%, Howard Dean: 1%, Russ Feingold: 1%, Evan Bayh: 1%, Joe Biden: 1%, Hillary Clinton: 1%, Someone else: 1%

Action history:

Created Thu 7th Jan 11:01am PST by phred

Suspend date: Sat 1st Sep 2012 7:59am PST (2 years to go) details

 

Predictions (19)

5 weeks ago
hemantkpatel predicted Barack Obama (H$100 at 87%)
5 weeks ago
pics4d predicted Joe Biden (H$100 at 3%)
5 weeks ago
pics4d predicted Hillary Clinton (H$100 at 3%)
9 weeks ago
mdad8200 predicted Joe Biden (H$20 at 2%)
9 weeks ago
josh92 predicted Barack Obama (H$100 at 91%)

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