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Who will win the majority in the Venezuelan parliamentary elections of 2010?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Chavism
53%
the opposition
47%
Question suspends in 23 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 31st Aug 3:59pm PST (23 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Chavism: 50%, the opposition: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 11th Jan 4:18pm PST by chaimas

Suspend date: Tue 31st Aug 3:59pm PST (23 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (5)

2 weeks ago
chaimas predicted Chavism (H$92 at 52%)
7 weeks ago
chaimas predicted Chavism (H$200 at 51%)
9 weeks ago
yurdinde predicted Chavism (H$20 at 50%)
9 weeks ago
excavator predicted the opposition (H$5 at 50%)
9 weeks ago
tkui predicted the opposition (H$20 at 50%)

Comments (1)

Chávez Watch
Welcome to “Bolivarian” socialism.
http://weeklystandard.com/blogs/ch%C3%A1vez-watch
With each passing day, it is getting harder and harder for Hugo Chávez’s remaining political and journalistic allies to defend his policies. Last week, the Venezuelan president announced a significant devaluation of the bolívar, Venezuela’s national currency, thereby making a major inflation problem even worse. “Latin America learned in the 1980s that policies like this do not work,” Harvard economist Ricardo Hausmann, who served as Venezuela’s minister of planning in the early 1990s, told Bloomberg News.

Venezuela already has the highest inflation rate in Latin America, thanks to the gradual Cubanization of its economy under Chávez. Annual inflation (the official rate calculated by the central bank) was 25 percent in 2009; it could be higher -- perhaps much higher -- this year. Even before the devaluation, the Associated Press was reporting that “some Venezuelan analysts estimate prices could rise by more than 35 percent.”

So how does Chávez propose to deal with inflation? He will use the military to prevent Venezuelan merchants from raising the prices of consumer goods. “Go ahead and speculate if you want, but we will take your business away and give it to the workers, to the people,” Chávez said yesterday on his television show. Welcome to “Bolivarian” socialism.
[More at the link...]
posted 9 weeks ago

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