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Will Barack Obama Sign A Major Healthcare Reform Bill into Law in 2010?

Voided

Market voided. While the term "major healthcare bill" could be intrepreted widely, it is also for that reason the starting odds seem off.

Background:

Background: Separate from the other Hubdub question that includes "universal healthcare", this question is will any major healthcare reform bill become law. The House and Senate have each passed their own bills, yet there are still significant differences between them. The healthcare deals are widely unpopular in public opinion polls. Republican Scott Brown is running a close race for the Massachusetts Senate seat and if he wins will take the 60 seat supermajority in the Senate away from the Democrats. The Democrats could win MA and resolve their disconnects to pass a healthcare bill or even convince a Republican or two to vote for the bill. Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi have also threatened to use reconciliation to pass the bill with only 51 votes in the Senate.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
60%
No
40%
Voided Mon 18th Jan 8:37am PST

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (40 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Sun 17th Jan 2:17pm PST by modigs2000
Voided Mon 18th Jan 8:37am PST by destry[Admin]: Market voided. While the term "major healthcare bill" could be intrepreted widely, it is also for that reason the starting odds seem off.

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (40 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (8)

8 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted Yes (H$3,000 at 65%)
8 weeks ago
majorgeeky predicted Yes (H$200 at 62%)
8 weeks ago
majorgeeky predicted Yes (H$200 at 61%)
8 weeks ago
horsefeathers predicted Yes (H$500 at 61%)
8 weeks ago
dnicolo1 predicted No (H$20 at 40%)

Comments (1)

  1 Erik
Please define "A Major Healthcare Reform Bill"
posted 8 weeks ago

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