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Dow - Up or down ? Which comes first, 9,750 or 10,750?

Settled as Dow does neither before 28 February 2010

Dow remained between these two extremes, finishing the month at 10,325

Background:

Background: Closing price counts not intraday trading.
Category editor may suspend 1 hour before market close if close to settlement.

At close of trading Friday 26 February
Suspends Monday 22 February

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Dow closes above 10,750 first
17%
Dow closes below 9,750 first
3%
Dow does neither before 28 February 2010
80%
Settled as Dow does neither before 28 February 2010 on Sat 27th Feb 6:23am PST

Suspend date: Mon 22nd Feb 8:45am PST
Settlement date: Sat 27th Feb 6:23am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 22nd Feb 8:45am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Dow closes above 10,750 first : 32%, Dow closes below 9,750 first: 33%, Dow does neither before 28 February 2010: 35%

Action history:

Created Mon 25th Jan 11:26am PST by gonegonegone
Suspended Mon 22nd Feb 8:45am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 26th Feb 2:27pm PST by dnicolo1: DOW closed at 10,325.26 26 Feb 10.

Question should be settled as neither 9,750 or 10,750.
Settled as 'Dow does neither before 28 February 2010' Sat 27th Feb 6:23am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: Dow remained between these two extremes, finishing the month at 10,325

Suspend date: Mon 22nd Feb 8:45am PST
Settlement date: Sat 27th Feb 6:23am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 22nd Feb 8:45am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (328)

3 weeks ago
dnicolo1 predicted Dow does neither before 28 February 2010 (H$157 at 87%)
3 weeks ago
slate predicted Dow does neither before 28 February 2010 (H$2,000 at 84%)
3 weeks ago
queviltai predicted Dow does neither before 28 February 2010 (H$20 at 80%)
3 weeks ago
notablenotices[Power User] predicted Dow closes below 9,750 first (H$1 at 4%)
3 weeks ago
notablenotices[Power User] predicted Dow closes above 10,750 first (H$1 at 17%)

Comments (4)

January 19, 2010: 10,725
January 20, 2010: 10,603
January 21, 2010: 10,390
January 22, 2010: 10,173
January 25, 2010: 10,197

Most significant drop since March 2009.
posted 7 weeks ago
  2 frogchop
And so it continues...
posted 7 weeks ago
  3 dnicolo1
The State of the Union speech will surely not help matters any....
posted 7 weeks ago
  4 grrow
http://www.makeahistory.com the best of free underground World
posted 6 weeks ago

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gonegonegone
96% of previous questions settled successfully
97 settled, 4 voided