Created Tue 2nd Feb 10:05am PST by

johnnyboy Level 15, Seer (H$462,381)

Oscars 2010: How Many Oscars Will Avatar Win?

Settled as Three

Art Direction
Cinematography
Visual Effects

Background:

Background: With 9 Nominations, how many Academy Awards will Avatar, the highest grossing film of all time, win?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Zero

One

Two

Three

11%

Four

16%

Five

33%

Six

19%

Seven

Eight

Nine

Settled as Three on Mon 8th Mar 11:21am PST

Activity: H$34,240
Predictions: 112
Comments: 5

Suspend date: Sat 6th Mar 7:59am PST
Settlement date: Mon 8th Mar 11:21am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 6th Mar 7:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Zero: 1%, One: 3%, Two: 5%, Three: 8%, Four: 12%, Five: 25%, Six: 25%, Seven: 13%, Eight: 5%, Nine: 3%

Action history:

Created Tue 2nd Feb 10:05am PST by

johnnyboy Level 15, Seer (H$462,381)

Suspended Sat 6th Mar 7:59am PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'Three' Mon 8th Mar 11:21am PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

: Art Direction
Cinematography
Visual Effects

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Predictions (112)

2 weeks ago

philculp Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,072,936)

predicted Three (H$200 at 9%)

2 weeks ago

philculp Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,072,936)

predicted Six (H$500 at 15%)

2 weeks ago

philculp Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,072,936)

predicted Five (H$1,000 at 30%)

2 weeks ago

philculp Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,072,936)

predicted Four (H$500 at 19%)

2 weeks ago

pitchedoutsideleg [Power User]

predicted Four (H$100 at 14%)

Comments (5)

jenniandboys [Admin]

Great job on the Oscar questions johnnyboy.. but aren't we missing the big one? Best Picture?

posted 6 weeks ago

pics4d Level 15, Seer (H$392,991)

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/entertainment/8554795.stm

0306 Sigourney Weaver gives a name check to Shepperton studios in Middlesex, where she filmed Alien, as she introduces Oscar for best art direction. Winner is Avatar, no shock there then.

posted 1 week ago

pics4d Level 15, Seer (H$392,991)

2... 0334 Sandra Bullock presents Mauro Fiore with best cinematography for Avatar. Another behind-the-scenes victory for Cameron's epic. Can it take the big one of the night?

posted 1 week ago

pics4d Level 15, Seer (H$392,991)

3... 0354 Avatar wins best visual effects, possibly the least surprising one of the night. Cameron is thanked again, clearly his people love him. Or they're terrified of him. Still waiting on the big one though, is best picture getting more likely?

posted 1 week ago

pics4d Level 15, Seer (H$392,991)

woohoo!...i might have actually wiped out my entertainment loss for the quarter

posted 1 week ago