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How many grains of rice will be donated on Free Rice in February, 2010?

Settled as 1,200,000,000 to 1,299,999,999 grains

1,281,469,630

http://www.freerice.com/totals.php

Background:

Background: Free Rice is a website that combines free education and food donation to help fight hunger throughout the world. Quoting form the website:
FreeRice has two goals:
1. Provide education to everyone for free.
2. Help end world hunger by providing rice to hungry people for free.
For some reason, the amount of rice generated on the website has dwindled a lot from 2 years ago. All charities are hurting due to the economic crisis, but this donation does not cost the donor a penny!
in 2008, most months averaged well over 3,000,000,000 grains. 2009 was not as good:
January - 2,416,239,520
February - 1,663,509,530
March - 1,830,287,650
April - 1,478,963,720
May - 1,403,545,670
June - 929,906,500
July - 652,730,310
Aug - 787,320,460
Sept - 1,310,200,000
Oct - 1,611,699,490
Nov - 1,426,271,040
Dec - 1,262,727,060
Jan 2010 1,451,006,720
We are certainly not up to earlier standards! Will the totals bounce back or will the downward trend continue?

The goal of this question, besides the fun of betting on Hubdub, is to see if we can bring more attention to Free Rice and more players who will donate more rice to combat poverty and hunger. So, bet high and then play your brains out to up the totals!!

The question is: What will be the total number of grains of rice donated in February 2010? The totals are displayed each day in the early morning hours under the Total tab. The settlement will be based on the total displayed in the Totals tab in early March, showing the totals for the month of December.

Settlement details:as shown on http://www.freerice.com/totals.php

 
Forecast history %
1,099,999,999 grains or less
1%
1,100,000,000 to 1,199,999,999 grains
3%
1,200,000,000 to 1,299,999,999 grains
91%
1,300,000,000 to 1,399,999,999 grains
2%
1,400,000,000 to 1,499,999,999 grains
1%
1,500,000,000 to 1,599,999,999 grains
1%
1,600,000,000 to 1,699,999,999 grains
1%
1,700,000,000 to 1,799,999,999 grains
1%
1,800,000,000 or more grains
0%
Settled as 1,200,000,000 to 1,299,999,999 grains on Mon 15th Mar 2:42pm PST

Suspend date: Wed 24th Feb 7:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 15th Mar 2:42pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 24th Feb 7:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 1,099,999,999 grains or less: 5%, 1,100,000,000 to 1,199,999,999 grains: 8%, 1,200,000,000 to 1,299,999,999 grains: 12%, 1,300,000,000 to 1,399,999,999 grains: 16%, 1,400,000,000 to 1,499,999,999 grains: 18%, 1,500,000,000 to 1,599,999,999 grains: 16%, 1,600,000,000 to 1,699,999,999 grains: 12%, 1,700,000,000 to 1,799,999,999 grains: 8%, 1,800,000,000 or more grains: 5%

Action history:

Created Tue 2nd Feb 6:29pm PST by tuff_sledding[Power User]
Suspended Wed 24th Feb 7:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 15th Mar 5:42am PST by shojun: http://www.freerice.com/totals.php : 1,281,469,630
Settled as '1,200,000,000 to 1,299,999,999 grains' Mon 15th Mar 2:42pm PST by sqlman[Admin]: 1,281,469,630

http://www.freerice.com/totals.php

Suspend date: Wed 24th Feb 7:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 15th Mar 2:42pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 24th Feb 7:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (33)

3 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted 1,200,000,000 to 1,299,999,999 grains (H$2,000 at 89%)
3 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 1,200,000,000 to 1,299,999,999 grains (H$2,000 at 74%)
3 weeks ago
shojun predicted 1,200,000,000 to 1,299,999,999 grains (H$130 at 68%)
3 weeks ago
rdeggau predicted 1,300,000,000 to 1,399,999,999 grains (H$200 at 16%)
3 weeks ago
rdeggau predicted 1,300,000,000 to 1,399,999,999 grains (H$200 at 13%)

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