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Will Brenda Martin be released from the Canadian Jail by May 15th 2008?

Settled as Yes

Released on parole May 9th.

Background:

Brenda Martin was found guilty in Mexico and sentenced to 5 years in jail. Canadian authorities successful transfered her back to Canada on May 1st 2008. Brenda has already served 2 years in jail in Mexico prior to sentencing, and under Canadian law that would qualify as 4 years time served. (In Canada a prisoner receives a credit of double the time for presentence jail time). Also with time off for good behaviour, a prisoner only has to serve about 1/3 of their sentence behind bars.

So with all that information. Will Brenda Martin be released by May 15th, 2008? She could be on day parole, placed in a half-way house, or any other form of supervision, as long as she is no longer incarcerated!


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
65%
No
35%
Activity: H$3,428
Settled as Yes on Sat 10th May 2008 12:02pm PDT

Suspend date: Fri 16th May 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 10th May 2008 12:02pm PDT

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 65%

Action history:

Created Fri 2nd May 2008 7:55am PDT by paulcroft
Settlement requested Sat 10th May 2008 10:55am PDT by paulcroft: She was released yesterday.

http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20080509/brenda_martin_080509/20080509?hub=Canada
Suspended Sat 10th May 2008 12pm PDT by lesley[Admin]
Settled as 'Yes' Sat 10th May 2008 12:02pm PDT by lesley[Admin]: Released on parole May 9th.

Suspend date: Fri 16th May 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 10th May 2008 12:02pm PDT
more info...

 

Predictions (15)

15 predictions

34 weeks ago
paulcroft predicted No (H$50 at 35%)
35 weeks ago
horatiomonty predicted No (H$500 at 36%)
35 weeks ago
myunion predicted Yes (H$20 at 65%)
35 weeks ago
paulcroft predicted Yes (H$100 at 65%)
35 weeks ago
quorny predicted No (H$50 at 37%)
more

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