bayoubear
Who will be the winner of the runoff presidential election in Zimbabwe?
Runoff election now scheduled for end of June, so no election will be held by May 31st.
Background:
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Mugabe is declared the winner by June 30, 2008 |
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Tsvangirai is declared the winner by June 30, 2008 |
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No election is held by May 31, 2008 |
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An election is held, but no one is declared the winner by June 30, 2008 |
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Suspend date: Sun 1st Jun 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Fri 16th May 2008 5:29am PDT
Initial likelihoods: Mugabe is declared the winner by June 30, 2008: 30%, Tsvangirai is declared the winner by June 30, 2008: 30%, No election is held by May 31, 2008: 20%, An election is held, but no one is declared the winner by June 30, 2008: 20%
Action history:
orlin
: Answer should be 'No election is held by May 31, 2008'
"The second-round run-off in Zimbabwe's disputed presidential election will be held on 27 June, the government says."
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/7404603.stm
lesley![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Runoff election now scheduled for end of June, so no election will be held by May 31st.
Suspend date: Sun 1st Jun 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Fri 16th May 2008 5:29am PDT
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (33)
33 predictions
predicted No election is held by May 31, 2008 (H$100 at 91%)
predicted Mugabe is declared the winner by June 30, 2008 (H$100 at 2%)
metal_monger
predicted An election is held, but no one is declared the winner by June 30, 2008 (H$50 at 2%)
noah_reason
predicted Tsvangirai is declared the winner by June 30, 2008 (H$50 at 3%)
predicted No election is held by May 31, 2008 (H$200 at 84%)
predicted No election is held by May 31, 2008 (H$87 at 80%)
matthelm
aland
pitchedoutsideleg
predicted No election is held by May 31, 2008 (H$978 at 35%)Comments (1)
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