bayoubear
Cinco de Mayo--How many 5s will be in the closing figure for the DJIA?
Closed at 12969.54, so one 5. (Happy Birthday Skipper!)
Background:
Closing 30 minutes before the end of the day.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Only one 5 in the closing price |
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Two 5s in the closing price |
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Three 5s in the closing price |
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Four 5s in the closing price |
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Five 5s in the closing price |
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There will be no 5s in the closing price |
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Suspend date: Mon 5th May 2008 1:30pm PDT Settlement date: Tue 6th May 2008 12:13am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 5th May 2008 1:30pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Only one 5 in the closing price: 45%, Two 5s in the closing price: 25%, Three 5s in the closing price : 12%, Four 5s in the closing price: 6%, Five 5s in the closing price: 2%, There will be no 5s in the closing price: 10%
Action history:
skipper![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
: http://finance.yahoo.com/q?d=t&s=^DJI
DJI closed at 12969.54
only one 5 in the closing price. YAY Cinco De Mayo!
(which is also my birthday)
Best regards,
-Skipper
tomg![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Closed at 12969.54, so one 5. (Happy Birthday Skipper!)
Suspend date: Mon 5th May 2008 1:30pm PDT Settlement date: Tue 6th May 2008 12:13am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 5th May 2008 1:30pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (44)
44 predictions
steph
hgumbert
predicted Only one 5 in the closing price (H$50 at 28%)
robuk
predicted Only one 5 in the closing price (H$100 at 27%)
predicted Only one 5 in the closing price (H$50 at 26%)
predicted Five 5s in the closing price (H$300 at 2%)
bout3fitty
predicted Two 5s in the closing price (H$100 at 37%)
predicted Only one 5 in the closing price (H$20 at 33%)
triathematician
kasulkedComments (6)
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Thanks for the fun question.
Though I enjoy making "predictions" on this and our other "fun" questions, I do respect Hubdub's administration in taking Hubdub in a direction they want to go with it. It is possible they will lose some members if they eliminate all the fun questions. However, I personally believe they need to do it completely or basically not at all, and right now some non-news prediction questions (in my opinion) are being allowed to continue, while others are being voided. Nothing to get very mad about, after all it isn't real money we're talking about here.
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