Will a very large wild cat; jaguar, tiger, leopard or lion be seen in a major North American city within the next 10 days? For the hat trick, first Canada, California and now........?
No reports of loose wild cats.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Tue 13th May 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 14th May 2008 6:50pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 13th May 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%
Action history:
Suspend date: Tue 13th May 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 14th May 2008 6:50pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 13th May 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (22)
22 predictions
Comments (19)
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We've had some exciting crazy frustrating debates on questions at settlement in the past. On some I won HUGE and on some I lost HUGE. So we try to ask questions upfront/early that will help make the settlement clearer.
Here is a CLASSIC one:
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/When_will_New_York_Governor_Elliot_Spitzer_resign_as_a_result_of_his_involvement_in_a_prostitution_ring_scandal_3983
The argument here was should this be settled as the day the resignation was ANNOUNCED or the day he actually stepped down. It is now affectionately referred to as SPITZERED - an ambiguous settlement in which the winners argue the question settled correctly while the losers argue for a resettlement and a few impartial observers try to mediate with common sense.
And my hats off to Admin and the abuse and teasing we dish out to them:
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/By_March_13_2008_will_the_office_of_hubdub_decide_when_Elliot_Spitzer_resigned_4162/view
Will the Spitzer argument resume in the comments section of the Large Wild Cats question?
Settlement Source: Hubdub.com
They have had to put up with a lot.
For a while there were even Death Pool questions regarding how they would die... the weirdest one had something to do with an elevator... lmao!
For example:
Major American city = population 100,000+ (or whatever)
Though "large WILD cat" suggests the cat is not in a zoo perhaps an indication the animal not be an escaped pet or zoo animal might help.
Additionally, since there are many, often incorrect, sightings of wild animals it may be better to require the animal be killed, captured, or its presence be verified by a state official through evidence such as tracks, droppings, or a video.
Hope this helps.
How 'bout my latest rewrite...better?
Excellent distinction. That is a MAJOR difference, especially in Chicago. It is almost irrelevant in other major cities.
NOTE TO ADMINS: This distinction should be made part of the official rules. I suggest going with metro areas.
Your questions are fun, fascinating, and surprisingly prolific...Many Thanks, and I look forward to seeing your next questions...!
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