hubdubbob
DJIA Poker - Which best poker hand will be available from the May 05 close of the DJIA?
Closed at 12969.54, so using 9 6 9 5 4 there is a pair of nines.
Background:
Using the 5 available numbers of the closing value of the DJIA on May 05th, which best of the available choices in this question will occur?
Please read "Settlement Details".
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Using ONLY first the five (5) numbers from right to left of DJIA's closing value
The best available hand which matches one of the choices available will be used to determine the outcome.
Available hand choices, in increasing order of strength are...
High Number Only (5 different numbers)
1 Pair
2 Pair
3 of a Kind
Straight (5 consecutive numbers).
Full House (3 of a Kind and a Pair).
4 of a Kind
5 of a Kind
For this question, a zero ("0") will be used in a straight only when used before the number one ("1"). (e.g. 0,1,2,3,4 but NOT 6,7,8,9,0).
Settled
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High Number Only (5 different numbers) |
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1 Pair |
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2 Pair |
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3 of a Kind |
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Straight (5 consecutive numbers). |
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Full House. (3 of a Kind and a Pair). |
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4 of a Kind |
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5 of a Kind |
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Suspend date: Mon 5th May 2008 11am PDT Settlement date: Tue 6th May 2008 12:06am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 5th May 2008 11am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: High Number Only (5 different numbers): 43%, 1 Pair: 35%, 2 Pair: 7%, 3 of a Kind: 5%, Straight (5 consecutive numbers).: 4%, Full House. (3 of a Kind and a Pair).: 3%, 4 of a Kind: 2%, 5 of a Kind: 1%
Action history:
hubdubbob 
infernalmachine![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: close at 12969.54 which gives (4 5 9 6 9) which is "1 Pair"
http://finance.yahoo.com
tomg
: Closed at 12969.54, so using 9 6 9 5 4 there is a pair of nines.
Suspend date: Mon 5th May 2008 11am PDT Settlement date: Tue 6th May 2008 12:06am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 5th May 2008 11am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (35)
35 predictions
hgumbert
predicted 1 Pair (H$50 at 34%)
bcguelph
predicted High Number Only (5 different numbers) (H$50 at 19%)
predicted 2 Pair (H$20 at 14%)
triathematician
ellyComments (6)
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This is awesome fun :-D
nice question
2 pair all the way
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