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Will a Southern Hemisphere country threaten a Northern Hemishere country for food related needs by the end of 2008?

Settled as No

No such reports


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
6%
No
94%
Activity: H$32,041
Settled as No on last Thursday 9:47am PST

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: last Thursday 9:47am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Sat 3rd May 2008 6:24pm PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested last Thursday 3:58am PST by orlin: No such reports.
Settled as 'No' last Thursday 9:47am PST by infernalmachine[Admin]: No such reports

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: last Thursday 9:47am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (19)

19 predictions

1 week ago
mork[Power User] predicted No (H$100 at 94%)
6 weeks ago
gtown predicted No (H$20 at 82%)
20 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted No (H$363 at 70%)
27 weeks ago
aussieguy predicted No (H$20 at 70%)
35 weeks ago
mona predicted No (H$100 at 69%)
more

Comments (5)

Great question!!!

Please provide some examples of a YES settlement. Would a Southern Hemisphere leader calling a Northern Hemisphere derogatory names or stating a wish/desire for harm count as YES?
posted 35 weeks ago
would threats of boycott count as YES?
posted 35 weeks ago
Let's see.... potential YES settlements...

South Africa experiences unanticipated catastrophe, something like a red tide affecting seafood or locust, or a virus, so they advise the United States that they (the US) will find their way clear to quickly ship some replacement food south to them to ensure that the world diamond trade, which is vital not just for jewelry but for industry, will not be interrupted.

or... A radical Muslim faction in Indonesia blackmails the United States by closing the Strait of Malacca unless prices/supply of food stuffs are provided them at improved terms.

My thinking is that the world food supplies have at least the appearance of vulnerability, and a nation's options for long range, creative influence have been expanded to include things like cyber-terrorism or the interruption of the flow of commerce or shipping and that there are many restless communities that may become not just angry, but angry and hungry.

Or, a deep South American country, with apparent, but shady ties to Hugo Chavez decides to "further" nationalize the Panama Canal and decide which flags are permitted passage based on new criteria.
posted 35 weeks ago
Very interesting... THANK YOU!
posted 35 weeks ago
...or restless, hungry mobs in Egypt sabotage the Suez Canal... no Egypt is north of the Equator... but you have to admit things are heating up around the world regarding food!
posted 30 weeks ago

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