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Will Kanye West decline a entertainment industry award and say it should be awarded to someone else?

Current forecast: 23% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 23% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Note: Market will run through the Grammy's and then settle.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
23%
No
77%
Activity: H$22,780
Question suspends in 4 weeks

Suspend date: Sat 7th Feb 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%

Action history:

Created Sat 3rd May 2008 6:39pm PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
Clarified Sat 7th Jun 2008 7:29pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Had to edit the market to remove subjective language and also shorten it up so that it made the 90 character limit. Don't think the edit really changes what the market is asking. If anyone believes it does please flag.
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Changed Description last Thursday 8am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: ... Note: Market will run through the Grammy's and then settle.
Changed Suspend date last Thursday 8am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: was: "2008-12-31 23:59:00"
Unsuspended last Thursday 8am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: Will run through Grammys on Feb 8

Suspend date: Sat 7th Feb 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (19)

19 predictions

1 week ago
fellcolor predicted No (H$10,000 at 82%)
5 weeks ago
pippi1500 predicted No (H$50 at 77%)
14 weeks ago
broom_and_gride predicted No (H$100 at 77%)
14 weeks ago
philphan1 predicted No (H$8 at 77%)
25 weeks ago
swilson predicted No (H$50 at 76%)
more

Comments (4)

Did they void the last one? I had money on it...good for you for re-posting!
posted 35 weeks ago
Yes, It had been voided, so I raised the threshold, hopefully it will stick this time.
posted 35 weeks ago
And who is "more deserving?"
posted 30 weeks ago
@ drobinhood

Allow me to explain, I'm making no value judgement that anyone may/may not be "more deserving", what I'm trying to speculate on is whether Kanye will decline the award and say that..."someone else" is more deserving than he is.
posted 30 weeks ago

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