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Will the combined ages of GOP Presidential & VP canidates be greater than the Dem. equivalent?

Settled as Yes

Market refers to ages on Election day, not prior to.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
97%
No
3%
Activity: H$84,846
Settled as Yes on Fri 29th Aug 2008 10am PDT

Suspend date: Thu 28th Aug 2008 8:59pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 29th Aug 2008 10am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 28th Aug 2008 8:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 70%

Action history:

Created Sat 3rd May 2008 8:25pm PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
Suspended Mon 25th Aug 2008 3:26pm PDT by valornhonor[Power User]: Flagged by super user: Can this suspend date be changed to 9/4/08?

Adam
Unsuspended Mon 25th Aug 2008 4:31pm PDT by destry[Admin]: Suspend date changed.
Suspended Thu 28th Aug 2008 8:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Yes' Fri 29th Aug 2008 10am PDT by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Thu 28th Aug 2008 8:59pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 29th Aug 2008 10am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 28th Aug 2008 8:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (59)

59 predictions

18 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted Yes (H$64 at 97%)
19 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted Yes (H$220 at 97%)
19 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted Yes (H$8,733 at 96%)
19 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 95%)
19 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted Yes (H$20 at 91%)
more

Comments (11)

wow, you are on a roll... I LOVE your questions and the wide variety of topics!!!

Thank You!
posted 35 weeks ago
  2 destry[Admin]
Starting odds seem low. In order for this to be settled as a NO, Obama must choose someone at least 61 yrs old and that assumes mccain selects someone only 35 (the youngest age to be vp). So for each year older than 35 mccain chooses a vp, obama would have to choose one older than 60. A 45 yr old republican would mean obama has to choose 70 year old vp.
posted 35 weeks ago
  3 Erik
That's assuming that Obama gets the nomination...
posted 35 weeks ago
  4 smidge76
Wouldn't it be more appropriate to put the suspend date as the time of the conventions (September 4 - the end of the Republican convention)? By then we should know what the candidates ages will be on 11/4. I suppose settlement could be postponed until 11/4, but wagering should definitely be suspended by the time the candidates are named.
posted 34 weeks ago
  5 destry[Admin]
WASHINGTON (AP) - Former Sens. John Edwards and Sam Nunn are on a list of potential running mates for Democrat Barack Obama, a congresswoman said Thursday, one day after she met with the team Obama has reviewing possible candidates. Nunn will turn 70 in September.
posted 28 weeks ago
hmnnnnnnn........

Senator McCain born 8/29/36

Senaor Obama born 8/4/61
Senator Biden born 11/20/42

and I dunno, how about say............................... Gov. Jindahl? born 6/10/71.... McCain + Jindalh is a younger ticket than Obama + Biden. heh heh, I know, it's a long shot...
posted 19 weeks ago
  7 randburg
The candidates will ALL BE known by the end of the first week of September, if not sooner. WHY does this suspend in ten weeks, on election day?
posted 19 weeks ago
@ randburg, you're right.... I've asked for the suspension date to be altered to 9/4/08, if impossible I will re-write or void.
reiurt
posted 19 weeks ago
  9 destry[Admin]
Market suspend date changed, market unsuspended.
posted 19 weeks ago
  10 maxime
The GOP's is definitely higher. Obama is 47 and Bidden is 65, which makes it 112 years combined.
McCain is 71. Just to tie the DNC his VP has to be 41. I doubt he will nominate someone that young.
posted 19 weeks ago
For all of you that thought this was such an absurd question.... heh heh.... Gov Palin makes the variance only about 3 years....
posted 18 weeks ago

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