Will there be any deaths associated with tornadoes during the week of May 5-11, 2008 in the United States.
Settled as 6 or more deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11
http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/us/AP-Severe-Weather.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin
Background:>
Seven people were killed in Arkansas as several tornadoes struck throughout the state last week. Will there be more deaths from tornadoes in the U.S. this week?
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Will there be any deaths associated with tornadoes during the week of May 5-11, 2008 in the United States.
No deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11
1-2 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11
3-5 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11
6 or more deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11
Zoom out
Forecast history, %
Settled
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No deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 |
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1-2 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 |
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3-5 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 |
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6 or more deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 |
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Activity: H$25,880
Settled as
6 or more deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 on Sat 10th May 2008 11:40pm PDT
Suspend date: Sat 10th May 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 10th May 2008 11:40pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 10th May 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
No deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11: 40%, 1-2 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11: 25%, 3-5 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11: 20%, 6 or more deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11: 15%
Action history:
Suspended Sat 10th May 2008 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Suspend date: Sat 10th May 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 10th May 2008 11:40pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 10th May 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (72)
72 predictions
34 weeks ago
bcguelph
predicted
1-2 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$5,000 at 85%)
34 weeks ago
ryanb37
predicted
1-2 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$4,444 at 61%)
34 weeks ago
myunion
predicted
1-2 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$2 at 45%)
34 weeks ago
theonecalledmichael
predicted
1-2 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$1,000 at 37%)
34 weeks ago
lovethenews
predicted
1-2 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$200 at 29%)
more34 weeks ago
bcguelph
predicted
1-2 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$5,000 at 85%)
34 weeks ago
ryanb37
predicted
1-2 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$4,444 at 61%)
34 weeks ago
myunion
predicted
1-2 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$2 at 45%)
34 weeks ago
theonecalledmichael
predicted
1-2 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$1,000 at 37%)
34 weeks ago
lovethenews
predicted
1-2 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$200 at 29%)
34 weeks ago
chull
predicted
1-2 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$100 at 27%)
34 weeks ago
jackpot11
predicted
No deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$50 at 64%)
34 weeks ago
noah_reason
predicted
1-2 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$250 at 22%)
34 weeks ago
kennyk
predicted
1-2 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$100 at 20%)
34 weeks ago
myunion
predicted
No deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$20 at 71%)
34 weeks ago
hose_a
predicted
1-2 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$200 at 17%)
34 weeks ago
noah_reason
predicted
1-2 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$300 at 13%)
34 weeks ago
mraleigh
predicted
3-5 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$100 at 5%)
34 weeks ago
mraleigh
predicted
1-2 deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$100 at 10%)
34 weeks ago
jhouseholder
predicted
6 or more deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$50 at 4%)
34 weeks ago
necessaryevil5150
predicted
No deaths due to tornadoes May 5-11 (H$50 at 82%)
Showing recent public predictions only
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Comments (5)
0.9942
So close!!!
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/24558648/
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