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Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
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Will Prince Charles die before he is crowned king of England?

Current forecast: 21% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 21% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
21%
No
79%
Activity: H$620
Question suspends in 8 years

Suspend date: Fri 5th May 2017 12:59am PDT (8 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Sun 4th May 2008 11:03am PDT by junkie_1

Suspend date: Fri 5th May 2017 12:59am PDT (8 years to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (10)

10 predictions

4 days ago
clarky predicted Yes (H$100 at 21%)
6 weeks ago
gtown predicted No (H$20 at 79%)
7 weeks ago
philphan1 predicted Yes (H$20 at 21%)
8 weeks ago
pristineview predicted Yes (H$100 at 21%)
13 weeks ago
laurajobarker predicted No (H$100 at 80%)
more

Comments (12)

  1 randburg
OF COURSE he will die before he is "crownned" King of England! If he is DEAD, no one is going to crown him King of England. So the odds are wrong: it should be 100% YES and 0% NO.
posted 35 weeks ago
  2 randburg
As for "suspends in 9 years": Bonnie Prince Charlie will NOT be very happy to hear that this is his life expectation...

And the next question is: HOW MANY hubdubbers will die waiting for the outcome of this prediction?
posted 35 weeks ago
  3 junkie_1
Actually I wanted this to suspend in 20 years ( zzz....) but the system does not allow it.
posted 35 weeks ago
  4 kruijs[Power User]
@randburg, or, to put it the other way around: "How many Hubdubbers believe that Prince Charles dies 'reaonably' soon to make a good gain/time ration in terms of H$".
oh, wait, this is a death-pool, isn't it?
posted 35 weeks ago
  5 randburg
I like your version of the question kruijs! Either way you look at it, it's going to be a deal pool question -- but much more fun than usual...
posted 35 weeks ago
  6 junkie_1
Well look at it from the other point of view - instead of a death pool you can read it as a crowning question .
posted 35 weeks ago
  7 kruijs[Power User]
ufff, junkie_1, thank you for saving us from the HubDubAntiDeathPoolBrigades :)
posted 35 weeks ago
  8 randburg
I'll go with the "crowning question"!
posted 35 weeks ago
  9 lesley[Admin]
Hey randburg. Long time no speak. Re comment 1, I suspect junkie_1's point was that Charles' coronation may occur before he dies. Alternatively, he may die before his mother, and so would never be made king. Or am I missing something?!
posted 35 weeks ago
  10 junkie_1
confusing . hmmm...
posted 35 weeks ago
  11 randburg
HI Lesley! ...we'll offer you Bush and Hillary for Charles and Brown...but just for a year, and then we'll return the pieces to their original places on the chessboard...

Maybe it will help us all appreciate what we already have...hmmmmm...
posted 34 weeks ago
  12 lesley[Admin]
or maybe Charlie Brown would be more useful randburg!
posted 34 weeks ago

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