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Will the Nepalese government headed by Prachanda collapse before the end of the term ?

Current forecast: 50% chance 2%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 50% likely to happen (down 2% in last 1 day)

Its a coalition government so chances are even


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
50%
No
50%
Activity: H$4,300
Question suspends in 5 years

Suspend date: Mon 5th May 2014 12:59am PDT (5 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Sun 4th May 2008 11:06am PDT by junkie_1

Suspend date: Mon 5th May 2014 12:59am PDT (5 years to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (4)

4 predictions

8 weeks ago
kirin predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 51%)
31 weeks ago
fellcolor predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 51%)
35 weeks ago
fellcolor predicted Yes (H$50 at 50%)

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