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CEO Watch: Will Steve Ballmer still be CEO of Microsoft by end of 2008?

Settled as Yes

Ballmer is still CEO http://www.microsoft.com/presspass/exec/steve/default.aspx

Background:

Background: While losing the Yahoo deal may actually be good for Microsoft (and will most probably give a boost to its stock price) it certainly doesn't look good for the architect, Steve Ballmer. TechCrunch asks the question "Does Ballmer Need To Go?" (http://tinyurl.com/4n2cjk) stating that after the disaster that was Vista, Ballmer needed to redeem himself in the eyes of board. Now that Yahoo has fallen through his fingers he doesn't look like he has much of a strategy.

'Leaving to pursue other opportunities'

To be honest, I think it is very unlikely that Ballmer will get the boot (sorry, 'leave to pursue other opportunities') because of this deal. Yahoo didn't really put up much of a defense beyond a belief that they are worth more. Nothing that they have done in the last 3 months has given me the impression they are really going to turn the business around never mind seriously compete with Google. So if Yahoo are likely to continue to flounder then Microsoft may as well bide their time and pick them up later at a lower price. Ballmer didn't make the one mistake that that CEOs always make which is to over-pay.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
92%
No
8%
Settled as Yes on Wed 31st Dec 2008 7:55am PST

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 7:55am PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 80%

Action history:

Created Sun 4th May 2008 3:09pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Settled as 'Yes' Wed 31st Dec 2008 7:55am PST by tomg[Admin]: Ballmer is still CEO http://www.microsoft.com/presspass/exec/steve/default.aspx

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 7:55am PST details

 

Predictions (53)

46 weeks ago
vitorpy predicted Yes (H$147 at 92%)
46 weeks ago
tim1 predicted Yes (H$100 at 92%)
46 weeks ago
ether predicted Yes (H$100 at 92%)
46 weeks ago
woodkey predicted Yes (H$750 at 91%)
46 weeks ago
cmueller predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 91%)

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