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CEO Watch: Will Steve Ballmer still be CEO of Microsoft by end of 2008?

Hubdub users say: Yes (84% chance )
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Yes with a probability of 84% (unchanged in last 1 day)

While losing the Yahoo deal may actually be good for Microsoft (and will most probably give a boost to its stock price) it certainly doesn't look good for the architect, Steve Ballmer. TechCrunch asks the question "Does Ballmer Need To Go?" (http://tinyurl.com/4n2cjk) stating that after the disaster that was Vista, Ballmer needed to redeem himself in the eyes of board. Now that Yahoo has fallen through his fingers he doesn't look like he has much of a strategy.

'Leaving to pursue other opportunities'

To be honest, I think it is very unlikely that Ballmer will get the boot (sorry, 'leave to pursue other opportunities') because of this deal. Yahoo didn't really put up much of a defense beyond a belief that they are worth more. Nothing that they have done in the last 3 months has given me the impression they are really going to turn the business around never mind seriously compete with Google. So if Yahoo are likely to continue to flounder then Microsoft may as well bide their time and pick them up later at a lower price. Ballmer didn't make the one mistake that that CEOs always make which is to over-pay.
 
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Yes
84%
No
16%
Activity: H$6,850
Question suspends in 23 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (23 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 80%

Action history:

Created Sun 4th May 4:09pm PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 
1 week ago
skirvir predicted Yes (H$200)
1 week ago
woodbot predicted Yes (H$200)
1 week ago
groston predicted Yes (H$100)
1 week ago
maestr023 predicted Yes (H$100)
1 week ago
swilson predicted Yes (H$100)
1 week ago
schenz predicted Yes (H$40)
2 weeks ago
christianleonardquale predicted Yes (H$600)
3 weeks ago
jamalpeter predicted No (H$100)
5 weeks ago
talanb predicted Yes (H$100)
5 weeks ago
chris[Admin] predicted No (H$50)

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