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Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
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Created Mon 5th May 2008 5:48am PDT by neverlupus
All questions » Technology » Hubdub » 

Who will be the second player ever to break the $750 K barrier?

Settled as orlin

Enough about Crudsy! Lets give him a break from questions: Who will be the second Hubduber (first since Crudsy) to attain $750,000 Hubdub dollars?


Settlement details: As observed on the hubdub website.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 rohan
0%
orlin
99%
infernalmachine
0%
epicur
0%
destry
0%
Another player/No other players in 2008
0%
Activity: H$45,278
Settled as orlin on Sat 10th May 2008 6am PDT

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Sat 10th May 2008 6am PDT

Initial likelihoods: rohan: 30%, orlin: 25%, infernalmachine: 20%, epicur: 13%, destry: 7%, Another player/No other players in 2008: 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 5th May 2008 5:48am PDT by neverlupus
Settlement requested Fri 9th May 2008 11:27pm PDT by epicur: Please settle as "orlin."

http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?sort=alltime&cat=all&who=all

Thanks.
Settled as 'orlin' Sat 10th May 2008 6am PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Sat 10th May 2008 6am PDT
more info...

 

Predictions (35)

35 predictions

34 weeks ago
epicur predicted orlin (H$10,000 at 93%)
35 weeks ago
epicur predicted orlin (H$1,000 at 88%)
35 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted epicur (H$100 at 6%)
35 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted Another player/No other players in 2008 (H$50 at 2%)

Comments (7)

  1 kelly
That's funny! Someone forced the odds out of site. This wouldn't be gaming? would it.
posted 35 weeks ago
  2 neverlupus
Not by me. You can see that I have zero money on this question (as of 4:27 PM Mountain, May 6th), and I created it. I might put some money on it now though.
posted 35 weeks ago
  3 dieseldog
its only gaming if you can prove a "conspiracy" invovling neverplus. one look at the leader boards will tell ya orlin is most likely to be the next. depends on what the odds was when question was created. orlin shoulda been a heavy favorite.
posted 35 weeks ago
  4 kruijs[Power User]
Maybe the initial odds were way off?
I don't think so: rohan and orlin are rather close on the leaderboards, followed by infernal and even epicur.
OTOH. orlin has a quarterly gain of 500K, rohan just 100K, infernal 120K, epicur 310K.

posted 35 weeks ago
  5 neverlupus
One: when I created this question, rohan had a significant (if not huge) lead over orlin. I tried to make the odds appropriate while still making them relatively nice fractions. And secondly, since you guys seem to suspect gaming, I will completely abstain from betting on this question. I will leave all of my predictions public until this question settles for you to check on. I was just trying to make a fun question, and I want to leave it that way.
posted 35 weeks ago
  6 kruijs[Power User]
no prop. i didn't flagged the question. its fine with me.
thanks for putting the q up anyway :)
posted 35 weeks ago
  7 kruijs[Power User]
i must admit i oversaw the creation date.
i thought it was set up today. sorry about that.
posted 35 weeks ago

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