destry
At what time will CNN project a winner in the Indiana Primary on May 6th.
The Indiana win for Clinton was projected early in the morning (EST) on the 7th. Therefore it was after 90 minutes
Background:
Settlement details:
As reported by CNN. Category Editor will have final say as to what time CNN called the race. We will use typical rounding for this question if CNN calls race at 14 minutes and 29 seconds that will round down to 14 minutes, if 14 minutes and 30 seconds then round up to 15 minutes.
Settled
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Within 14 minutes of polls closing |
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15 to 29 minutes of polls closing |
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30 to 44 minutes of polls closing |
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45 to 59 minutes of poll closing |
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60 to 89 minutes of poll closing |
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90 minutes or more of polls closing |
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Suspend date: Tue 6th May 2008 4pm PDT Settlement date: Tue 6th May 2008 10:54pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 6th May 2008 4pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Within 14 minutes of polls closing: 5%, 15 to 29 minutes of polls closing: 10%, 30 to 44 minutes of polls closing: 20%, 45 to 59 minutes of poll closing: 20%, 60 to 89 minutes of poll closing: 25%, 90 minutes or more of polls closing: 20%
Action history:
stephen
: it has been more than 90 minutes and cnn has not announced a winner 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: The Indiana win for Clinton was projected early in the morning (EST) on the 7th. Therefore it was after 90 minutes
Suspend date: Tue 6th May 2008 4pm PDT Settlement date: Tue 6th May 2008 10:54pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 6th May 2008 4pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (79)
79 predictions
jakob
predicted 90 minutes or more of polls closing (H$10 at 29%)
jenniandboys
predicted 90 minutes or more of polls closing (H$200 at 27%)
noah_reason
predicted 60 to 89 minutes of poll closing (H$10 at 25%)
hubdubbob
predicted 90 minutes or more of polls closing (H$50 at 34%)
predicted 60 to 89 minutes of poll closing (H$100 at 25%)
predicted Within 14 minutes of polls closing (H$100 at 9%)Comments (2)
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New in Politics » US Election 2008
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