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My Predictions

Will the Federal Reserve cut the target interest rate at their meeting June 24th/25th?

Settled as No

No change - http://apnews.excite.com/article/20080625/D91H9ESG9.html

Background:

At their last meeting the Federal Reserve cut rates to 2%. Many sources are saying they are going to take a break from interest rate cuts, will they?

The economy is still not great, although GDP growth for the first quarter 2008 was still +0.6%, on a par with the last quarter of 2007. Official recession is now less of a certainty so do we need another cut?
 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
6%
No
94%
Activity: H$60,410
Settled as No on Wed 25th Jun 1:43pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sun 29th Jun 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Wed 25th Jun 1:43pm PDT

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 35%

Action history:

Created Mon 5th May 11:39am PDT by toddbenjamin_pw
Suspended Wed 25th Jun 1:22pm PDT by destry[Admin]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Wed 25th Jun 1:22pm PDT by destry[Admin]: show details
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (84)

84 predictions

15 weeks ago
kiwifire predicted No (H$8 at 91%)
15 weeks ago
ash427 predicted No (H$2,300 at 91%)
15 weeks ago
keyeshoveden predicted No (H$2,500 at 91%)
15 weeks ago
curios predicted No (H$100 at 90%)
15 weeks ago
yonemoto predicted Yes (H$300 at 9%)
more

Comments (3)

With the rising inflation rate it is very unlikely that the Fed will further cut rates..
posted 21 weeks ago
agreed, i didn't want him to cut rates last time.
posted 17 weeks ago
And now he has said that he is going to raise rates going forward.
posted 17 weeks ago

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