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Will there be any reported (either confirmed or unconfirmed) sightings of the Tasmanian Tiger (Thylacine) during May,2008

Voided

The starting odds for this market are unreasonable seeing as the last unconfirmed sighting was in 2005.

Background:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thylacine
Although officially extinct there have been many unconfirmed sightings of this animal, last one in 2005
http://www.abc.net.au/worldtoday/content/2005/s1312642.htm


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Voided

Yes
50%
No
50%
Voided Mon 19th May 2008 11:52am PDT

Suspend date: Sat 31st May 2008 6:59am PDT

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 5th May 2008 4:59pm PDT by jchiang
Voided Mon 19th May 2008 11:52am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: The starting odds for this market are unreasonable seeing as the last unconfirmed sighting was in 2005.

Suspend date: Sat 31st May 2008 6:59am PDT
more info...

 

Predictions (31)

31 predictions

33 weeks ago
evanmsc predicted No (H$100 at 87%)
33 weeks ago
dreamer predicted No (H$100 at 87%)
33 weeks ago
curios predicted No (H$100 at 87%)
33 weeks ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted No (H$275 at 80%)
33 weeks ago
mork[Power User] predicted No (H$500 at 80%)
more

Comments (6)

  1 jbolli
Wow, look at that jaw.

Last recorded image of one from youtube:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6vqCCI1ZF7o
posted 35 weeks ago
  2 destry[Admin]
How can it be settled if it is unconfirmed. If I say I saw one, and they can't confirm it, does that mean it settles as yes?
posted 35 weeks ago
I saw one in my closet.

I shut the door.
posted 35 weeks ago
  4 randburg
They are only found in Tasmania...

...but we seem to have a few Tasmanian devils right here...
posted 35 weeks ago
  5 jchiang
if you can get your sighting into a media write up then I guess yes it would be settled as yes
posted 35 weeks ago
an extinct animal that was last reported seen in 2005 and it started at 50% for will it be seen this month?
posted 33 weeks ago

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