Created Mon 5th May 2008 10:48pm PDT by hubdubbob

All questions » Technology » Hubdub » 

DJIA Poker - Which best poker hand will be available from the May 07 close of the DJIA?

12,814.35
81435
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=%5EDJI

Background:

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Using ONLY first the five (5) numbers from right to left of DJIA's closing value

The best available hand which matches one of the choices available will be used to determine the outcome.

Available hand choices, in increasing order of strength are...

High Number Only (5 different numbers)
1 Pair
2 Pair
3 of a Kind
Straight (5 consecutive numbers).
Full House (3 of a Kind and a Pair).
4 of a Kind
5 of a Kind

A zero ("0") will be used in a straight only when used before the number one ("1"). (e.g. 0,1,2,3,4 but NOT 6,7,8,9,0).

DJIA Poker - Which best poker hand will be available from the May 07 close of the DJIA?

    High Number Only (5 different numbers)

    1 Pair

    2 Pair

    3 of a Kind

    Straight (5 consecutive numbers).

    Full House. (3 of a Kind and a Pair).

    4 of a Kind

    5 of a Kind

Zoom out

Forecast history, %

   Zoom in

Settled

	High Number Only (5 different numbers)	30%
	1 Pair	40%
	2 Pair	16%
	3 of a Kind	7%
	Straight (5 consecutive numbers).	3%
	Full House. (3 of a Kind and a Pair).	2%
	4 of a Kind	1%
	5 of a Kind	1%

Activity: H$2,113

Settled as High Number Only (5 different numbers) on Thu 8th May 2008 3:04pm PDT

Suspend date: Wed 7th May 2008 12pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 8th May 2008 3:04pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 7th May 2008 12pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: High Number Only (5 different numbers): 43%, 1 Pair: 35%, 2 Pair: 7%, 3 of a Kind: 5%, Straight (5 consecutive numbers).: 4%, Full House. (3 of a Kind and a Pair).: 3%, 4 of a Kind: 2%, 5 of a Kind: 1%

Action history:

Created Mon 5th May 2008 10:48pm PDT by hubdubbob

Suspended Wed 7th May 2008 12pm PDT : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Thu 8th May 2008 10:51am PDT by old_guy: settlement date is past

Settlement requested Thu 8th May 2008 11:12am PDT by hubdubbob: The DJIA on May 07 closed about 22 hours ago.

Settled as 'High Number Only (5 different numbers)' Thu 8th May 2008 3:04pm PDT by andrew: 12,814.35
81435
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=%5EDJI

hide

Suspend date: Wed 7th May 2008 12pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 8th May 2008 3:04pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 7th May 2008 12pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

Get widget!

Predictions (30)

30 predictions

35 weeks ago

thekinks predicted 4 of a Kind (H$5 at 1%)

35 weeks ago

thekinks predicted 1 Pair (H$10 at 40%)

35 weeks ago

thekinks predicted 3 of a Kind (H$15 at 7%)

35 weeks ago

edogg predicted 2 Pair (H$100 at 15%)

35 weeks ago

mozrules predicted 1 Pair (H$100 at 41%)

more

35 weeks ago

thekinks predicted 4 of a Kind (H$5 at 1%)

35 weeks ago

thekinks predicted 1 Pair (H$10 at 40%)

35 weeks ago

thekinks predicted 3 of a Kind (H$15 at 7%)

35 weeks ago

edogg predicted 2 Pair (H$100 at 15%)

35 weeks ago

mozrules predicted 1 Pair (H$100 at 41%)

35 weeks ago

space_oracle predicted 3 of a Kind (H$10 at 7%)

35 weeks ago

knowitall predicted 2 Pair (H$20 at 14%)

35 weeks ago

space_oracle predicted 2 Pair (H$20 at 14%)

35 weeks ago

hubdubbob predicted 3 of a Kind (H$25 at 7%)

35 weeks ago

jaspersoddity predicted High Number Only (5 different numbers) (H$20 at 32%)

35 weeks ago

jaspersoddity predicted 2 Pair (H$20 at 14%)

35 weeks ago

jaspersoddity predicted 1 Pair (H$250 at 40%)

35 weeks ago

hubdubbob predicted 3 of a Kind (H$25 at 6%)

35 weeks ago

bakobull predicted 1 Pair (H$500 at 36%)

35 weeks ago

bcguelph predicted 2 Pair (H$50 at 12%)

Showing recent public predictions only

less

Comments (0)