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Will anyone be able to replicate a stunt performed by Houdini by the end of this year?

Settled as Yes

http://www.yorkshirepost.co.uk/localnews/Great-escape-for-performer-inspired.4121722.jp

Background:

This would have to be a stunt which is still a mystery and more than 99.99% of the people don't know how to do it . Please don't say that Houdini jumped off a 50 story building and so if anyone replicates it the question can be settled.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
49%
No
51%
Activity: H$8,600
Settled as Yes on Thu 29th May 2008 11:44am PDT

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Thu 29th May 2008 11:44am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 27th May 2008 1am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%

Action history:

Created Tue 6th May 2008 12:04pm PDT by junkie_1
Settlement requested Thu 29th May 2008 9:45am PDT by ryanb37: http://www.yorkshirepost.co.uk/localnews/Great-escape-for-performer-inspired.4121722.jp
This happened 5/27/2008 and was reported on the website of the yorkshire Post in the local news section Should be settled as YES thank you

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Thu 29th May 2008 11:44am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 27th May 2008 1am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (3)

3 predictions

33 weeks ago
ryanb37 predicted Yes (H$8,000 at 37%)
35 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted Yes (H$100 at 25%)

Comments (8)

  1 ryanb37
So just for clarification It says ANY of houdinis stunts so I am going to bet heavy on yes for this one people do his stunts all the time
posted 33 weeks ago
"This would have to be a stunt which is still a mystery and more than 99.99% of the people don't know how to do it"

I think this pretty much makes it impossible for anyone to do, which of his stunts are still a mystery and who's trying to reproduce them? Big no on this one.
posted 33 weeks ago
  3 ryanb37
The way the question reads is Will anyone be able to replicate any stunt performed by Houdini by the end of this year?
Key word there is ANY. I would say that 99.99% of people do not know how to do any of his stunts that is a huge number of people and I know that most people can not do the milk can escape and do not know how to do it. Do you know how to escape a straight jacket while hanging upside down i think not and I am sure the one who wrote this question dose not know how to so if Any stunt of houdinis is replicated it should be settled as YES
posted 33 weeks ago
  4 junkie_1
yes i agree ... i do not know how to do that milk can escape but the question is how many people do?
If the answer to this question is that only about 10-100 people all around the world know how its done then that is a stunt that will settle this question.
posted 33 weeks ago
  5 junkie_1
also ...you have to give proof that someone has actually done it and has accomplished it successfully . The fact is that normal day-to-day stunts will not be reported by the media , only the big one's will create a ripple and hence you can provide proof of creating this question.
posted 33 weeks ago
  6 ryanb37
I just wonder because i do know how to do the water torture cell and was going to attempt it later this year
posted 33 weeks ago
  7 ryanb37
And you forget Cnn has news to you now its a way for people doing things to brodcast it to the world and make it a news story so If the stunts are done and posted there then again it would settle as yes. Everything is reported by the media heck myspace videos are now a media reporting device
posted 33 weeks ago
  8 junkie_1
if you say so.
posted 33 weeks ago

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