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Of the 35 competing national teams within the North, Central American & Caribbean Continental Zone trying to get to the 2010 World Cup in South Africa that have red white and blue prominentaly in their flags, how many will make it to the qualifying round?

Current forecast: Three teams (30% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Three teams with a probability of 30% (unchanged in last 1 day)

The countries that I'm considering that have primarily red, white and blue in their flags are: United States, Costa Rica, Panama, Cuba, Cayman Islands, Dominican Republic & Puerto Rico.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

None qualify
13%
One team
28%
Two teams
21%
Three teams
30%
Any other number of teams
9%
Activity: H$1,178
Question suspends in 29 weeks

Suspend date: Sat 1st Aug 8:59am PDT (29 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: None qualify: 15%, One team: 20%, Two teams: 20%, Three teams: 35%, Any other number of teams: 10%

Action history:

Created Tue 6th May 2008 9:51pm PDT by valornhonor[Power User]

Suspend date: Sat 1st Aug 8:59am PDT (29 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (8)

8 predictions

4 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted Two teams (H$20 at 21%)
4 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted Two teams (H$50 at 20%)
4 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted One team (H$100 at 28%)
30 weeks ago
ikaros predicted One team (H$500 at 23%)
33 weeks ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted Any other number of teams (H$100 at 11%)
more

Comments (3)

  1 mrperfkt[Admin]
Valor - can you define "qualifying round" on this one, please. Thanks!
posted 23 weeks ago
In case anyone is interested it looks like the initial field of 35 teams in the "Americas + Carib Zone" have now been whittled to 12, 5 of these have red, white and blue in their flags. Next is the further elimination to see who gets to go to Africa for the tournament in 2010. I'm using the FIFA website to track these results.
posted 22 weeks ago
  3 onedave[Power User]
The US and Costa Rica are the only two of the final six with red, white and blue in their flags.
posted 4 weeks ago

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