orlin
How many space rocket launches will be realised by the end of May?
Here's a list of the launches between the creation of the question and the end of May with links:
1. 14 May - Soyuz Progress
http://spaceflightnow.com/news/n0805/14progress29p/
2. 21 May - Sea Launch Galaxy 18
http://spaceflightnow.com/sealaunch/galaxy18/
3. 23 May - Russian military satellyte launched with Rockot rocket
http://spaceflightnow.com/news/n0805/23rockot/
4. 27 May - China Feng Yun-3A
http://www.spaceflightnow.com/news/n0805/27fenyun3a/
http://www.reuters.com/article/scienceNews/idUSPEK764120080527
5. 31 May - Discovery STS 124
Background:
These are [date; rocket; payload/spacecraft]:
May 14 - Soyuz • Progress 29P
May 23 - Ariane 5 • Skynet 5C & Turksat 3A
Late May - Sea Launch • Galaxy 18
May 31 - Shuttle Discovery STS 124 • ISS 1J
TBD - Delta 2 • GLAST
'TBD' is for 'to be determined' and means that the launch date for GLAST is not yet officially determined, altough unofficialy is May 31. But, giving that shuttle Discovery is scheluded for launch the same date, most probably GLAST will slip into June.
Outside these known launches, pending are one or two chinese launches of which little is known, at least until the launch itself occur.
So the maximum would be 7, but it appears that it'll be never reached.
Let's try to predict how many launches will be until the end of May.
Suborbital launches do not count.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Only one |
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Two |
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Three |
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Four |
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Five |
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More |
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Suspend date: Sat 31st May 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 1st Jun 2008 12:43pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 31st May 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Only one: 10%, Two: 15%, Three: 30%, Four: 30%, Five: 10%, More: 5%
Action history:
orlin orlin: Answer is FIVE.
Here's a list of the launches between the creation of the question and the end of May with links:
1. 14 May - Soyuz Progress
http://spaceflightnow.com/news/n0805/14progress29p/
2. 21 May - Sea Launch Galaxy 18
http://spaceflightnow.com/sealaunch/galaxy18/
3. 23 May - Russian military satellyte launched with Rockot rocket
http://spaceflightnow.com/news/n0805/23rockot/
4. 27 May - China Feng Yun-3A
http://www.spaceflightnow.com/news/n0805/27fenyun3a/
http://www.reuters.com/article/scienceNews/idUSPEK764120080527
5. 31 May - Discovery STS 124
Ariane 5 was two time postponed and now is scheduled for sometimes in June.
GLAST will launch 5 June.
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Here's a list of the launches between the creation of the question and the end of May with links:
1. 14 May - Soyuz Progress
http://spaceflightnow.com/news/n0805/14progress29p/
2. 21 May - Sea Launch Galaxy 18
http://spaceflightnow.com/sealaunch/galaxy18/
3. 23 May - Russian military satellyte launched with Rockot rocket
http://spaceflightnow.com/news/n0805/23rockot/
4. 27 May - China Feng Yun-3A
http://www.spaceflightnow.com/news/n0805/27fenyun3a/
http://www.reuters.com/article/scienceNews/idUSPEK764120080527
5. 31 May - Discovery STS 124
Suspend date: Sat 31st May 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 1st Jun 2008 12:43pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 31st May 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (36)
36 predictions
rhoan74
predicted Four (H$20 at 53%)
myunion
predicted Four (H$20 at 53%)
rbrog77
predicted Four (H$76 at 53%)
predicted Four (H$75 at 52%)
rogi
predicted Three (H$10 at 14%)Comments (0)
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