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Will Michael Strahan retire from the NY Giants before the 1st game of the 2008-09 Football season?

Forecast: Yes (67% chance )
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Yes with a probability of 67% (unchanged in last 1 day)

from ESPN...

"Officially, Michael Strahan is undecided about his future. But he looks and sounds like a player who is going to retire before training camp.

Giants linebacker Antonio Pierce went on the radio and said he thought Strahan was gong to retire. Last summer, he almost did retire. Clearly he doesn't want to come to training camp, and Tom Coughlin isn't going to give him a pass that will allow him to take the summer off.

Put the odds at 60-40 for a retirement announcement before training camp."

 
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Yes
67%
No
33%
Total activity: H$6,511
Question suspends in 14 weeks
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  • Question status: Open
  • Suspend date: Wed 3rd Sep 5:59am PST (14 weeks to go)
  • Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.
  • Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%
Created Wed 7th May 4:30am PST by crowe
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Will Michael Strahan retire from the NY Giants before the 1st game of the 2008-09 Football season?
Yes
2 days ago
No user imagebigh165 predicted No (H$100)
6 days ago
No user imagel_one predicted No (H$100)
6 days ago
No user imageskacore predicted No (H$100)
1 week ago
No user imagevandal1000 predicted No (H$50)
1 week ago
cplex85 predicted No (H$500)
1 week ago
No user imagekgholderman predicted Yes (H$20)
1 week ago
crowe predicted Yes (H$50)
2 weeks ago
No user imagebitz predicted Yes (H$200)