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Will Sea Launch realise its planned launch of the Galaxy 18 satellite by the end of May?

Settled as Yes

http://www.earthtimes.org/articles/show/galaxy-18-launch-successful-powerhouse-satellite-within-us-cable-arc,403137.shtml

Galaxy 18 launches 5.43am EDT on 21 May 2008.

Background:

The Sea Launch Zenit 3SL rocket will carry into orbit the Galaxy 18 communications satellite for Intelsat. The Loral-built spacecraft will replace the Galaxy 10R satellite and be used for telecommunication services across North America. Launch is delayed from May 13 with no new date for launch yet. Will this launch occur in this month of May?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
94%
No
6%
Activity: H$74,149
Settled as Yes on Wed 21st May 2008 5:29am PDT

Suspend date: Thu 29th May 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 21st May 2008 5:29am PDT

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%

Action history:

Created Wed 7th May 2008 5:42am PDT by orlin
Settlement requested Wed 21st May 2008 4:33am PDT by orlin: Sea Launch launched Galaxy 18 satellite today, 21 May, at 01.43 AM PST (02.43 PDT), 0943 GMT.

Answer is YES.

http://www.earthtimes.org/articles/show/galaxy-18-launch-successful-powerhouse-satellite-within-us-cable-arc,403137.shtml
Suspended Wed 21st May 2008 5:24am PDT by tisha[Admin]
Settled as 'Yes' Wed 21st May 2008 5:29am PDT by tisha[Admin]: http://www.earthtimes.org/articles/show/galaxy-18-launch-successful-powerhouse-satellite-within-us-cable-arc,403137.shtml

Galaxy 18 launches 5.43am EDT on 21 May 2008.

Suspend date: Thu 29th May 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 21st May 2008 5:29am PDT
more info...

 

Predictions (22)

22 predictions

33 weeks ago
corry20 predicted Yes (H$100 at 84%)
33 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted No (H$100 at 16%)
33 weeks ago
chull predicted Yes (H$250 at 84%)
33 weeks ago
iocia predicted No (H$100 at 16%)
33 weeks ago
myunion predicted No (H$50 at 69%)
more

Comments (3)

  1 myunion
Oh wow GXR is going going.... oh how it's service will be missed.
posted 34 weeks ago
  2 chull
This is just if they launch it, not it being successfully placed in orbit right?
posted 33 weeks ago
yep - just the launch has to occur. I imagine there could be some haggling if the thing blows up during ascent, but if there's just an orbit injection problem, it should still settle as yes.
posted 33 weeks ago

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