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Will the UN invoke the "Respondsibility to Protect" clause to help deliver aid to Burma?

Settled as No

France suggested invoking the U.N. "responsibility to protect" clause to deliver aid directly to Myanmar without waiting for approval from the military.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Must be enacted before May 9.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
17%
No
83%
Activity: H$25,108
Settled as No on Sat 10th May 2008 5:52am PDT

Suspend date: Fri 9th May 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 10th May 2008 5:52am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 9th May 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 7th May 2008 11:47am PDT by mork[Power User]
Suspended Fri 9th May 2008 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 9th May 2008 7:58am PDT by markov: Outcome known
Settlement requested Fri 9th May 2008 8:44am PDT by markov: This BBC article dated May 9 indicates the UN did not invoke the 'Responsibility To Protect' clause before May 9 as required in the question:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/7392662.stm
Settled as 'No' Sat 10th May 2008 5:52am PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]

Suspend date: Fri 9th May 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 10th May 2008 5:52am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 9th May 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (59)

59 predictions

34 weeks ago
knowitall predicted No (H$1,000 at 82%)
34 weeks ago
deelilley predicted No (H$200 at 82%)
34 weeks ago
questmaster predicted No (H$15 at 82%)
34 weeks ago
jaspersoddity predicted No (H$1,000 at 81%)
34 weeks ago
myunion predicted No (H$20 at 74%)
more

Comments (5)

  1 skipper[Power User]
is this about the responsibility to react clause or the responsibility to protect clause talked about in the background info?
posted 35 weeks ago
  2 mork[Power User]
Thanks for pointing that out skipper. I made a mistake. The question should say "responsibility to protect".

I have flagged it and asked for it to be adjusted.
posted 35 weeks ago
  3 markov
My default assumption about the UN is: Talk and do nothing.

Secondary default is: Talk and then the United States does something (with or without consent).
posted 35 weeks ago
  4 owl1
I just hope we don't send anyone from FEMA.
posted 34 weeks ago
  5 markov
Anyone know why this is taking so long to settle? Is there a disagreement on the outcome?
posted 34 weeks ago

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