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Will Microsoft announce the acquisition of Facebook by the end of 2008?

Current forecast: 19% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 19% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

VentureBeat (http://tinyurl.com/3gqgvk) is reporting rumors starting to swirl around that post the Yahoo non-deal, Microsoft is looking for a big acquisition to get them properly into the web space. And bubbling to the top of the list is, wait for it, Facebook.

Windows Vista Live Facebook Mail?

Microsoft already owns 1.6 percent of Facebook but obviously think that they could do so much more if they owned all of it (Windows Vista Live Facebook Mail anyone?). Obviously Facebook has stated IPO goals but who is to say they wouldn't blink at the right price?
 
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Yes
19%
No
81%
Activity: H$3,887
Question suspends in 11 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: This question will be settled on the announcement of a deal, not its completion.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (11 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Wed 7th May 1:21pm PDT by punditwatch[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: This question will be settled on the announcement of a deal, not its completion.... read all

 

Predictions (31)

31 predictions

2 days ago
evanp predicted No (H$20 at 81%)
1 week ago
jweinstein predicted No (H$100 at 81%)
6 weeks ago
woodkey predicted No (H$100 at 81%)
7 weeks ago
krups predicted No (H$15 at 81%)
7 weeks ago
tobowers predicted No (H$100 at 79%)
more

Comments (1)

Silicon Alley Insider also think it is credible: http://www.alleyinsider.com/2008/5/microsoft_buying_facebook_not_as_silly_as_you_think

Immortal line: Zuckerberg is smart enough to know that, the moment the "Microsoft-Facebook talks" leak hits the Wall Street Journal, Eric Schmidt is going to be bounding up and down on his front stoop with a counter-offer like a labrador.
posted 22 weeks ago

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