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Will Microsoft announce the acquisition of Facebook by the end of 2008?

Settled as No

No acquisition announced.

Background:

Background: VentureBeat (http://tinyurl.com/3gqgvk) is reporting rumors starting to swirl around that post the Yahoo non-deal, Microsoft is looking for a big acquisition to get them properly into the web space. And bubbling to the top of the list is, wait for it, Facebook.

Windows Vista Live Facebook Mail?

Microsoft already owns 1.6 percent of Facebook but obviously think that they could do so much more if they owned all of it (Windows Vista Live Facebook Mail anyone?). Obviously Facebook has stated IPO goals but who is to say they wouldn't blink at the right price?

Settlement details:This question will be settled on the announcement of a deal, not its completion.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
6%
No
94%
Settled as No on Wed 31st Dec 2008 7:55am PST

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 7:55am PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Wed 7th May 2008 12:21pm PST by punditwatch[Admin]
Settled as 'No' Wed 31st Dec 2008 7:55am PST by tomg[Admin]: No acquisition announced.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 7:55am PST details

 

Predictions (121)

44 weeks ago
timr predicted No (H$100 at 94%)
44 weeks ago
denrev predicted No (H$835 at 94%)
44 weeks ago
mork[Power User] predicted No (H$100 at 90%)
45 weeks ago
nuaetius predicted No (H$100 at 90%)
45 weeks ago
silvermchic predicted No (H$28 at 90%)

Comments (1)

Silicon Alley Insider also think it is credible: http://www.alleyinsider.com/2008/5/microsoft_buying_facebook_not_as_silly_as_you_think

Immortal line: Zuckerberg is smart enough to know that, the moment the "Microsoft-Facebook talks" leak hits the Wall Street Journal, Eric Schmidt is going to be bounding up and down on his front stoop with a counter-offer like a labrador.
posted 1 year ago

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