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Recent predictions

1 week ago
drunkenmonkey predicted 700 Million USD (incl) to 800 Million USD (excl) (H$500)
1 week ago
myunion predicted 700 Million USD (incl) to 800 Million USD (excl) (H$20)
1 week ago
No user imagejhouseholder predicted 800 Million USD (incl) to 900 Million USD (excl) (H$18)

What will be the global sales of "Grand Theft Auto 4" within two weeks after release?

Suspended

Rhonda Farr said: ‘Publicity, darling. Just publicity. Any kind is better than none at all.’
[1933 R. Chandler in Black Mask Dec. 26]

That is true. Very true in this case. Controversials about the game "Grant Theft Auto 4" (aka GTA IV) in question made it more desirable to buy, it seems. Just one example: Chicago banned the ads for the game from their buses because they saw their image damaged.

Very clever marketing. And, technically spoken, a very good product.

The sales are as successful as the biggest blockbuster film debut, "Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End".

6 Million copies were sold within one week, raking in more than 500 Million USD. This opening topped the most optimistic expectations. Analysts' forecast were at 13 million units. By the end of the year.

Now Electronic Arts (EA), rival game publisher who wants to buy GTA's publisher Take Two Interactive Software Inc, seem to have to rethink their offer.


What will be the total sales revenue within the first two weeks after release of the game?
(If sales aren't published, but amount of units are, calculate 83.3 USD/unit)


For links about this: See first comment (due to the limitation of the length this text).

 
% chance over time
   Larger graph on Graph tab below
Outcome probabilities when suspended
less than 700 Million USD
15%
700 Million USD (incl) to 800 Million USD (excl)
46%
800 Million USD (incl) to 900 Million USD (excl)
25%
900 Million USD (incl) to 1 Billion USD (excl)
10%
1 Billion USD or more
3%
Suspended
Predictions on this question are temporarily suspended
 
  • Question status: Suspended
  • Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.
  • Initial likelihoods: less than 700 Million USD: 10%, 700 Million USD (incl) to 800 Million USD (excl): 25%, 800 Million USD (incl) to 900 Million USD (excl): 30%, 900 Million USD (incl) to 1 Billion USD (excl): 25%, 1 Billion USD or more: 10%
Created Wed 7th May 12:42pm PST by kruijs
Suspended Tue 13th May 3:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested last Monday 3:17pm PST by ladylara: past 2 weeks (April 29-May 14th). thank you
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1 7 30 365
day(s)

score: 10

Grand Theft Auto IV Speeds Past Six Million Mark


Since its release on April 29, global sales of the Grand Theft Auto 'GTA IV' video game from Take-Two Interactive Software (Nasdaq: TTWO) have ...

score: 10

Grand Theft Auto IV Speeds Past Six Million Mark


Since its release on April 29, global sales of the Grand Theft Auto 'GTA IV' video game from Take-Two Interactive Software (Nasdaq: TTWO) have ...

score: 10

Grand Theft Auto Speeds Past 6 Mil


Since its release on April 29, global sales of the Grand Theft Auto 'GTA IV' video game from Take-Two Interactive Software (Nasdaq: TTWO) have ...

score: 10

Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) Breaks Record for Opening Sales of Grand Theft Auto IV


Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (NASDAQ: TTWO) announced that Grand Theft Auto IV has surpassed all-time entertainment records for day one and...

score: 10

score: 10

score: 10
Page: 1
  2 mrperfkt
Watch...I'll go out and buy the game and settlement will be exactly 1 over my prediction!
posted 2 weeks ago
  3 kruijs
lol
posted 2 weeks ago
I can't find sales figures on this. NPD report monthly however that only includes 5 days of the release period. Anyone else know? If you find them fire over a settlement request with them. Thanks!
posted 1 day ago

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What will be the global sales of "Grand Theft Auto 4" within two weeks after release?
less than 700 Million USD
700 Million USD (incl) to 800 Million USD (excl)
800 Million USD (incl) to 900 Million USD (excl)
900 Million USD (incl) to 1 Billion USD (excl)
1 Billion USD or more
1 week ago
drunkenmonkey predicted 700 Million USD (incl) to 800 Million USD (excl) (H$500)
1 week ago
myunion predicted 700 Million USD (incl) to 800 Million USD (excl) (H$20)
1 week ago
No user imagejhouseholder predicted 800 Million USD (incl) to 900 Million USD (excl) (H$18)
1 week ago
myunion predicted 700 Million USD (incl) to 800 Million USD (excl) (H$50)
1 week ago
jimbo predicted 700 Million USD (incl) to 800 Million USD (excl) (H$140)
1 week ago
No user imagemikeyboy75 predicted 800 Million USD (incl) to 900 Million USD (excl) (H$100)
1 week ago
No user imagemetal_monger predicted less than 700 Million USD (H$50)
1 week ago
No user imageseeedya predicted less than 700 Million USD (H$20)
1 week ago
No user imageopie predicted 800 Million USD (incl) to 900 Million USD (excl) (H$50)
1 week ago
No user imagedimebag predicted 900 Million USD (incl) to 1 Billion USD (excl) (H$20)