Created Wed 7th May 2008 1:43pm PDT by hubdubbob

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DJIA Poker - Which best poker hand will be available from the May 09 close of the DJIA?

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Use ONLY first the five numbers from right to left of DJIA's closing value

The best available hand which matches one of the choices available will be used to determine the outcome.

Available hand choices, in increasing order of strength are...

High Number Only (5 different numbers)
1 Pair
2 Pair
3 of a Kind
Straight (5 consecutive numbers).
Full House (3 of a Kind and a Pair).
4 of a Kind
5 of a Kind

A zero ("0") will be used in a straight only when used before the number one ("1"). (e.g. 0,1,2,3,4 but NOT 6,7,8,9,0).

DJIA Poker - Which best poker hand will be available from the May 09 close of the DJIA?

    High Number Only (5 different numbers)

    1 Pair

    2 Pair

    3 of a Kind

    Straight (5 consecutive numbers).

    Full House. (3 of a Kind and a Pair).

    4 of a Kind

    5 of a Kind

Zoom out

Forecast history, %

   Zoom in

Settled

	High Number Only (5 different numbers)	39%
	1 Pair	20%
	2 Pair	17%
	3 of a Kind	17%
	Straight (5 consecutive numbers).	2%
	Full House. (3 of a Kind and a Pair).	2%
	4 of a Kind	2%
	5 of a Kind	2%

Activity: H$6,501

Settled as 1 Pair on Fri 9th May 2008 1:46pm PDT

Suspend date: Fri 9th May 2008 12:30pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 9th May 2008 1:46pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 9th May 2008 12:30pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: High Number Only (5 different numbers): 43%, 1 Pair: 35%, 2 Pair: 7%, 3 of a Kind: 5%, Straight (5 consecutive numbers).: 4%, Full House. (3 of a Kind and a Pair).: 3%, 4 of a Kind: 2%, 5 of a Kind: 1%

Action history:

Created Wed 7th May 2008 1:43pm PDT by hubdubbob

Suspended Fri 9th May 2008 12:30pm PDT : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Fri 9th May 2008 1:29pm PDT by infernalmachine: closed at 12745.88 so numbers are 4,5,7,8,8
ie "one pair"
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=%5EDJI

Settled as '1 Pair' Fri 9th May 2008 1:46pm PDT by nigeleccles

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Suspend date: Fri 9th May 2008 12:30pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 9th May 2008 1:46pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 9th May 2008 12:30pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Predictions (35)

35 predictions

34 weeks ago

brent predicted 1 Pair (H$20 at 20%)

34 weeks ago

hubdubbob predicted High Number Only (5 different numbers) (H$1,381 at 29%)

34 weeks ago

edogg predicted 2 Pair (H$200 at 21%)

34 weeks ago

edogg predicted 3 of a Kind (H$200 at 21%)

34 weeks ago

edogg predicted 1 Pair (H$200 at 27%)

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34 weeks ago

brent predicted 1 Pair (H$20 at 20%)

34 weeks ago

hubdubbob predicted High Number Only (5 different numbers) (H$1,381 at 29%)

34 weeks ago

edogg predicted 2 Pair (H$200 at 21%)

34 weeks ago

edogg predicted 3 of a Kind (H$200 at 21%)

34 weeks ago

edogg predicted 1 Pair (H$200 at 27%)

34 weeks ago

edogg predicted Straight (5 consecutive numbers). (H$200 at 5%)

34 weeks ago

steph predicted 1 Pair (H$100 at 25%)

34 weeks ago

jenniandboys predicted 1 Pair (H$20 at 25%)

34 weeks ago

hubdubbob predicted 3 of a Kind (H$1,000 at 17%)

34 weeks ago

hubdubbob predicted 2 Pair (H$1,000 at 14%)

34 weeks ago

jaspersoddity predicted High Number Only (5 different numbers) (H$30 at 35%)

Showing recent public predictions only

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Comments (4)

  1 hubdubbob

More than likely, I will be ending my participation with Hubdub. Initially it was very fun, etc. but now the efforts to get the necessary H$ to make good on the various leader boards is taking too much time, etc. So, if you eventually don't see me much, if any at all, I've mostly enjoyed it, and y'all take care.

posted 34 weeks ago

  2 Erik

hubdubbob...So, you're saying that the only reason you're here is to be on a leaderboard? Hmmm...sounds a bit narcissistic.

posted 34 weeks ago

  3 hubdubbob

Nope, I'm not in love with myself, nor my achievements, etc. :)

posted 34 weeks ago

  4 edogg

I have commented before. There is no give back other than the leaderboards. Do you really need to challenge yourself enough to see if you were right on a H$20 assumption on a headline? Not really. It is all about the leaderboards because that is all there is here. There is a grabber to get you to play, but to keeper to hold you here. I have been #1 on the leaderboards, and after that, what is left to do here?

posted 34 weeks ago

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