Created Wed 7th May 3:53pm PST by eponymoushero

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Will there be more reports of 'penis theft' lynchings in the D.R.C before the end of May?

Forecast: No (69% chance 4% )

Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is No with a probability of 69% (up 4% in last 1 day)

http://uk.news.yahoo.com/rtrs/20080422/tod-uk-congo-democratic-witchcraft-cb1d00a.html

It was reported on April 22nd that people have been arrested and/or lynched in the Democratic Republic of Congo accused of sorcery and witchcraft in the relation to 'penis theft'. The victims claimed that the accussed had used black magic to steal their penises.

Will there be more reports of similar events before the end of May?

% chance over time

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	Yes	31%
	No	69%

Total activity: H$13,723

Question suspends in 1 week

All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Most likely to be yahoo.co.uk or reuters africa.

 

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Details

• Question status: Open
• Suspend date: Sat 31st May 3:59pm PST (1 week to go)
• Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.
  Most likely to be yahoo.co.uk or reuters africa.
• Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history

Created Wed 7th May 3:53pm PST by eponymoushero

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Related News

This news is found automatically based on keywords given by the question creator: penis, congo, lynching

1 7 30 365

day(s)

score: 10

UN submits report on violence in DR Congo

People's Daily 10 hours ago

The United Nations mission in the Democratic Republic of Congo has sent a report on the February 2008 violence in the Bas-Congo province to the...

score: 10

DR Congo murder appeal marred by rights violations: watchdogs

Yahoo! News 21 hours ago

The appeal trial of four men sentenced to death for a Congolese journalist's murder lacked "protection of the defendants' most basic rights," local ...

Page: 1

Comments

  1 mrperfkt

Sources say that the arestees were "well hung."
I know...I know...that was bad.

posted 2 weeks ago

  2 eponymoushero

Haha very witty

posted 2 weeks ago

  3 fingers_of_fury

Man! people will steal ANYTHING

posted 2 weeks ago

  4 owl1

Makes a great soup.

posted 2 weeks ago

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Prediction Graph

Will there be more reports of 'penis theft' lynchings in the D.R.C before the end of May?

Yes

Recent predictions

7 hours ago

necessaryevil5150 predicted No (H$20)

7 hours ago

myunion predicted No (H$20)

7 hours ago

necessaryevil5150 predicted No (H$20)

22 hours ago

kida predicted Yes (H$50)

3 days ago

phex predicted No (H$300)

1 week ago

eponymoushero predicted No (H$100)

1 week ago

eponymoushero predicted No (H$92)

2 weeks ago

epicur predicted No (H$110)

2 weeks ago

fingers_of_fury predicted No (H$100)