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Will Mayor of London, Boris Johnson, Be Asked To Make An Apology In 2008?

Hubdub users say: No Apology Requested (46% chance )
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is No Apology Requested with a probability of 46% (unchanged in last 1 day)

Gaffe prone Politician Boris Johnson was elected as Mayor of London last week.
In his previous role as MP for Henley and Editor of the Spectator magazine Johnson has been forced to apologise to the residents of Liverpool after accusing them of 'wallowing in grief' after the beheading of Ken Bigley. He has also been criticised for comments made about alleged cannibalism in Papua New-Guinea; Jamie Oliver and the town of Portsmouth, amongst others.
Will he be asked to make an apology over any comments he makes during 2008?
 
% chance over time
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May - June 2008
6%
July - September 2008
24%
October - December 31st 2008
24%
No Apology Requested
46%
Activity: H$1,121
Question suspends in 22 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (22 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: May - June 2008: 5%, July - September 2008: 20%, October - December 31st 2008: 25%, No Apology Requested: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 7th May 5:43pm PDT by eponymoushero
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 
1 week ago
gingerboi predicted July - September 2008 (H$100)
3 weeks ago
danhanley predicted October - December 31st 2008 (H$46)
8 weeks ago
rogi predicted October - December 31st 2008 (H$20)
9 weeks ago
foe81 predicted October - December 31st 2008 (H$100)
10 weeks ago
schoom predicted October - December 31st 2008 (H$10)
10 weeks ago
doopa predicted May - June 2008 (H$50)
10 weeks ago
scottmliddell predicted July - September 2008 (H$50)
10 weeks ago
johnforegate predicted July - September 2008 (H$50)
10 weeks ago
cheese predicted July - September 2008 (H$50)
10 weeks ago
robuk[Admin] predicted July - September 2008 (H$20)
Just to clarify by asked to make an apology do you mean by a national newspaper, another politician or by anyone? I think a national newspaper is probably the best measure.
posted 10 weeks ago
For arguments sake I think it should be a newspaper or commnity group or other group in society. Is there a better way it could be worded?
posted 10 weeks ago

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