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Will Google or Yahoo announce an extension of their search ad deal before the end of May?
The purpose of the partnership was to give Yahoo more leverage in getting a better deal out of Microsoft. That certainly worked with Microsoft upping its offer. But now the threat of a Microsoft takeover has receded, rumors are circulating that Google is cooling on extending the partnership. According to the WSJ Google execs are divided on how much they would like to screw their new best friend.
As Henry Blodget writes:
Google is now remembering that having 85% market share in a $20 billion global market probably isn't a winning strategy for keeping regulators happy. Far better to keep one foot on Yahoo's throat and the other on the defibrillator paddles, so you can always say, "See, we have a real live competitor here! It moved an hour ago. We swear!"
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
| Yes |
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| No |
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- Activity: H$54,244 |
- Predictions: 104 |
Comments: 3
Suspend date: Sat 31st May 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 1st Jun 2008 10:43am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 31st May 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
orlin
: No 
nigeleccles
Suspend date: Sat 31st May 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 1st Jun 2008 10:43am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 31st May 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (104)
predicted No (H$50 at 93%)
predicted No (H$1,000 at 90%)
predicted No (H$1,000 at 90%)
predicted No (H$1,270 at 89%)
predicted Yes (H$20 at 11%)Comments (3)
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Brin and Schmidt seem to still want to be friends with Yahoo. Not, clear if this turns into a deal though.
This one is easy money.
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