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Will the Democrats win a US House seat next week in Mississippi?

Settled as Yes

Last week, a Democrat took away a Republican House seat in Louisiana. Is it Mississippi's turn next week? Mississippi is a very conservative state with strong Republican leanings. But next week there'll be an election held to replace newly appointed Senator Wicker who had held the seat. The Republican should be a shoo-in, but with the strength of the Democrats and strong anti-Republican feelings, there's actually a chance of the Democratic candidate, Travis Childers, winning. In fact, he came within a few hundred votes of winning the seat outright in an early vote, which made the runoff necessary. National Republicans are trying to focus on this race, even bringing in big guns like Chaney (no pun intended)to campaign for Greg Davis. Their involvment might actually hurt the GOP's chances as there's a lot of negativity associated with the Republicans and their strategy and tactics.

Plus, the winner of this race will have to run again, against the same opponents, for re-election in the November elections.

And if Childers wins, Democrats will have 3 of the 4 House seats in Mississippi.
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
56%
No
44%
Activity: H$3,361
Settled as Yes on Wed 14th May 4:41am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Tue 13th May 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Wed 14th May 4:41am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 13th May 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 55%

Action history:

Created Thu 8th May 9:53am PDT by bayoubear[Admin]
Suspended Tue 13th May 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Yes' Wed 14th May 4:41am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: http://www.suntimes.com/news/politics/948781,CST-NWS-cong14.article
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (30)

30 predictions

15 weeks ago
deelilley predicted Yes (H$50 at 56%)
15 weeks ago
karn predicted Yes (H$100 at 56%)
15 weeks ago
legnahcra predicted Yes (H$20 at 56%)
15 weeks ago
pup124 predicted No (H$1,000 at 43%)
15 weeks ago
exilpat predicted Yes (H$50 at 58%)
more

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