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Will # killed from 5/2 cyclone = most loss of life from single natural disaster post 1958?

Settled as Less than 250,000 fatalities

Had to keep rewriting to fit within 90 characters. This is what I'M TRYING to ask...For all natural disasters, will the death toll from the cyclone, within one month of the event, suspend date 6/2/08... that hit Myanmar on 5/2 be greater than any other natural disaster in past 50 years? http://listverse.com/nature/top-10-deadliest-natural-disasters/ also see http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/article1143691.ece
 
% chance over time
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Settled

Less than 250,000 fatalities
98%
250,000 - 500,000
1%
500,000 - 750,000
1%
750,000 - 1,000,000
0%
> 1,000,000
0%
Activity: H$37,373
Settled as Less than 250,000 fatalities on Tue 3rd Jun 10am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Mon 2nd Jun 8:59am PDT

Settlement date: Tue 3rd Jun 10am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 2nd Jun 8:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Less than 250,000 fatalities: 10%, 250,000 - 500,000: 35%, 500,000 - 750,000: 35%, 750,000 - 1,000,000: 10%, > 1,000,000: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 8th May 6:52pm PDT by valornhonor
Suspended Mon 2nd Jun 8:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Less than 250,000 fatalities' Tue 3rd Jun 10am PDT by robuk[Admin]: http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008-06/03/content_8307825.htm
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 
8 weeks ago
No user imagedonnalip predicted 250,000 - 500,000 (H$50)
8 weeks ago
abbey predicted Less than 250,000 fatalities (H$50)
8 weeks ago
No user imagejaspersoddity predicted 250,000 - 500,000 (H$20)
9 weeks ago
swilson predicted Less than 250,000 fatalities (H$1,000)
9 weeks ago
No user imagegelsinho predicted Less than 250,000 fatalities (H$249)
9 weeks ago
cmyro predicted Less than 250,000 fatalities (H$200)
9 weeks ago
No user imagehoosierdaddy predicted Less than 250,000 fatalities (H$100)
9 weeks ago
amice predicted Less than 250,000 fatalities (H$50)
9 weeks ago
mork[Power User] predicted Less than 250,000 fatalities (H$2,000)
9 weeks ago
No user imageevilbob predicted 250,000 - 500,000 (H$20)
  1 chatarra
Does the death toll in this question include numbers from disease? For instance, if the incoming aid packages are delayed or rejected by the ruling party, then the number of deaths that are related to the cyclone will likely be higher.
posted 9 weeks ago
chatarra, yes, including disease, plz note in my settlement information I said within one month of the event, because what I believe to be true based on events thus far is that the rescue/recovery is being horribly botched and the ultimately price in lives will be much greater than those who drowned during the initial event.
posted 9 weeks ago
FYI...http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/asia/article3911696.ece//From Times Online//May 11, 2008//Aid trickles into Burma, but toll 'could reach 1 million if disease set in'
posted 9 weeks ago

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