bayoubearWill Congressman Vito Fossella be re-elected to his House seat in this year's election?
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080520/ap_on_go_co/congressman_affair_10
Background:
A Republican congressman for over 10 years, he had a surprisingly tough challenge from the Democrats in 2006. Now the question is will he be able to hold onto his seat in this year's election? Or will he even run?
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Fossella runs for re-election and wins |
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Fossella runs for re-election and loses |
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Fossella does not run for re-election |
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Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 21st May 2008 4:55am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 20th May 2008 1:55pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Fossella runs for re-election and wins: 25%, Fossella runs for re-election and loses: 45%, Fossella does not run for re-election: 30%
Action history:
dieseldog
: http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080520/ap_on_go_co/congressman_affair_10 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080520/ap_on_go_co/congressman_affair_10
Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 21st May 2008 4:55am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 20th May 2008 1:55pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
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deelilleyComments (2)
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http://www.nytimes.com/2008/05/10/sports/othersports/10lacrosse.html?_r=1&th&emc=th&oref=slogin
here is Gail Collins piece http://www.nytimes.com/2008/05/10/opinion/10collins.html?th&emc=th
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