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What will be the margin of victory in the Puerto Rico Democratic Primary ?

Settled as Hillary wins by at least 10%

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#PR

Background:

The largest delegate prize up for grabs.. Hillary is expected to do pretty well there -- assuming she stays in. http://www.pollster.com/08-PR-Dem-Pres-Primary.php
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Hillary wins by at least 10%
74%
Hillary wins by less than 10%
19%
Barack wins by less than 10%
5%
Barack wins by at least 10%
2%
Activity: H$10,555
Settled as Hillary wins by at least 10% on Mon 2nd Jun 3:08pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: Difference in percentage of popular vote between Hillary and Barack.

Settlement source: CNN

Suspend date: Sun 1st Jun 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Mon 2nd Jun 3:08pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 1st Jun 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Hillary wins by at least 10%: 35%, Hillary wins by less than 10%: 35%, Barack wins by less than 10%: 20%, Barack wins by at least 10%: 10%

Action history:

All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: Difference in percentage of popular vote between Hillary and Barack. ... read all

 

Predictions (58)

58 predictions

19 weeks ago
thepeoplegeek predicted Hillary wins by at least 10% (H$100 at 73%)
19 weeks ago
thepeoplegeek predicted Hillary wins by at least 10% (H$19 at 73%)
19 weeks ago
kida predicted Hillary wins by at least 10% (H$300 at 72%)
19 weeks ago
quorny predicted Hillary wins by at least 10% (H$2,000 at 64%)
19 weeks ago
quorny predicted Hillary wins by at least 10% (H$100 at 57%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 frank2877
This just in: "With 57 percent of the precincts reporting, the Puerto Rico vote count showed Clinton with 131,304 votes, or 68 percent, to Obama's 61,614 votes, or 32 percent." Hillary by 10% is starting to look good!
posted 19 weeks ago

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