
Will Barack Obama help pay off Hillary Clinton's election debts?
http://abclocal.go.com/wpvi/story?section=news/politics&id=6226171
Background:>
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Pay Off: Raising money to pay off Mrs. Clinton's debts or in some other way paying off Clinton's debts, for example taking money out of his own campaign coffers.
Settled
|
|
Yes |
|
||
|
|
No |
|
Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 25th Jun 2008 9:03am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 24th Jun 2008 7:50pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
First of the joint fundraisers between Clinton and Obama is scheduled for next week. Future events should benefit Clinton's campaign. Source: New York Times: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/18/us/politics/18clinton.html?ref=politics
"The fund-raiser next week in Washington will benefit Mr. Obama’s campaign, but aides to both senators said it would probably be the first of several events, including some to help Mrs. Clinton retire her debt through new contributions from Mr. Obama’s supporters."
http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2008/06/24/politics/fromtheroad/entry4206725.shtml
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5h6WUt_8GLZ6ykG12aW1_0nebPXkQD91GS84O2
It looks to me like maybe this can settle...
<http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5h6WUt_8GLZ6ykG12aW1_0nebPXkQD91H3BI00>
Need to find 1st article to void late predictions (see comment #25).
(market suspended)
Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 25th Jun 2008 9:03am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 24th Jun 2008 7:50pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (192)
192 predictions
Comments (29)
What is Hubdub?
Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.
Join now or learn moreRelated News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
Related tags
New in Politics » US Election 2008




I'm wagering "NO" but this is certainly a fascinating idea.
http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/05/09/obama-wont-rule-out-easing-clinton-campaign-debt/
http://www.upi.com/NewsTrack/Top_News/2008/04/14/mccain_helps_former_rival_retire_debt/8092/
Sen. Clinton To Pay Off Vilsack's Campaign Debt
http://www.kcci.com/politics/11407584/detail.html?rss=des&psp=news
Hillary hanging out for a VP slot, or a payday?
http://hotair.com/archives/2008/05/08/hillary-hanging-out-for-a-vp-slot-or-a-payday/
Obama Won’t Rule Out Easing Clinton Campaign Debt
http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/05/09/obama-wont-rule-out-easing-clinton-campaign-debt/
Obama suggests offer maybe Clinton can’t refuse
http://www.hillaryproject.com/index.php?/en/story-details/obama_suggests_offer_maybe_clinton_cant_refuse/
From recent campaign history this practice seems to happen very often. Also allot more pundits are talking about the possibility of this. 50% odds are kind of high (I would have given 40%), but its common practice, and with dwindling pundit and superdelegate support this is fair. I do agree though that the market needs some clarification, I'll add in some more settlement details so that the market is clearer.
Cheers,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
"That is a normal thing when a candidate finishes a race and loses, the winning candidate would try to help if there's some debt that's been incurred,"
However, the same article says that by law, Obama can't write a large check to her, but his donors can help. So, if it is Obama's donors or the democratic party that constitute a "yes" that Obama helped?
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080513/ap_on_el_pr/clinton_debt
I don't know if the coolkraft was thinking this way when he authored the question... or whether it's a legitimate way to settle the market... but it's definitely not out of the question, and very much in the realm of possibility.
jamalpeter (Wash. D.C.)
BTW, you can also copy/paste a news article url into questions you create -- which will provide background info for other users to easily find, as well as, hopefully, give support to the starting odds you have selected for your question.
If any of this isn't clear, just ask, and someone will try to assist by explaining it differently ;-)
Please log in or join to add a comment