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Where will the DJIA be at the close on Friday, May 16, 2008?

Settled as Closes at 12,900.00 or above.

http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=%5EDJI
12,986.80

Background:

Acknowledgment to bayoubear for the original daily versions of this question.

The DJIA climbed above 13,000.00 during the week of April 28, 2008, and closed Friday, May 02, 2008 at 13,058.20, but closed at 12,745.88 on Friday, May 09, 2008.

I have set the suspend date / time for Monday, May 12, 2008 at 12:00 PST. Perhaps it will give us a bit of insight as to how the DJIA will perform the remainder of the week.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Closes at 12,599.99 or below.
3%
Closes between 12,600.00 and 12,699.99.
4%
Closes between 12,700.00 and 12,799.99.
21%
Closes between 12,800.00 and 12,899.99.
33%
Closes at 12,900.00 or above.
39%
Activity: H$16,274
Settled as Closes at 12,900.00 or above. on Fri 16th May 2008 1:40pm PDT

Suspend date: Mon 12th May 2008 1pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 16th May 2008 1:40pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 12th May 2008 1pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Closes at 12,599.99 or below.: 13%, Closes between 12,600.00 and 12,699.99.: 23%, Closes between 12,700.00 and 12,799.99.: 28%, Closes between 12,800.00 and 12,899.99.: 23%, Closes at 12,900.00 or above.: 13%

Action history:

Created Fri 9th May 2008 4:53pm PDT by hubdubbob
Suspended Mon 12th May 2008 1pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 16th May 2008 1:06pm PDT by orlin: Closed at 12,986.80

Answer is "Closes at 12,900.00 or above."

http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=%5EDJI
Settled as 'Closes at 12,900.00 or above.' Fri 16th May 2008 1:40pm PDT by andrew: http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=%5EDJI
12,986.80

Suspend date: Mon 12th May 2008 1pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 16th May 2008 1:40pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 12th May 2008 1pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (52)

52 predictions

34 weeks ago
hubdubbob predicted Closes between 12,700.00 and 12,799.99. (H$728 at 14%)
34 weeks ago
slick predicted Closes at 12,900.00 or above. (H$1,000 at 39%)
34 weeks ago
l_one predicted Closes between 12,800.00 and 12,899.99. (H$300 at 43%)
34 weeks ago
l_one predicted Closes between 12,700.00 and 12,799.99. (H$50 at 19%)
34 weeks ago
slick predicted Closes between 12,800.00 and 12,899.99. (H$100 at 41%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 bayoubear[Admin]
Thanks so much...this form of the question gets back into the predictive aspect of our activities here...Daily is fun, particularly for those of us who can maintain a close watch on movements, but the weekly version may be just as appealing...Thanks again
posted 34 weeks ago
AWESOME question man! Keep em coming!!!
posted 34 weeks ago

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